Nea Ionia vs Asteras Varis: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 9Group 9 - 20Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Dimotiko Stadio Neas Ionias, Athína (Athens)
The Footlab AI model makes Asteras Varis the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Nea Ionia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Asteras Varis wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,805 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 29, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nea Ionia vs Asteras Varis?
A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate Nea Ionia (1,587) and Asteras Varis (1,685).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Nea Ionia vs Asteras Varis
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Nea Ionia
Not enough data to predict the Nea Ionia lineup.
Asteras Varis
Not enough data to predict the Asteras Varis lineup.
Computed on October 29, 2026 at 01:59 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nea Ionia have 4 wins, 0 draws and 11 defeats; Asteras Varis have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Ilisiakos(home) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Asteras Magoula(home) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Pannaxiakos(away) | 0-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Acharnaikos(home) | 4-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Thyella Diastavroseos(away) | 1-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Ethnikos Asteras(home) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Thyella Diastavroseos(away) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Saronikos Anavyssou(home) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ilioupoli(away) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Ilisiakos(home) | 0-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Nea Ionia wins, 0 draws, 0 Asteras Varis wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2025 | Asteras Varis 1-2 Nea Ionia | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Nea Ionia 1-0 Asteras Varis | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Asteras Varis vs Nea Ionia on Feb 12, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Nea Ionia score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Asteras Varis score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nea Ionia | 0.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Asteras Varis | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nea Ionia sit 3rd in Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 (3 points from 2 matches) and Asteras Varis sit 9th (1 point from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Nea Ionia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Asteras Varis | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
A question about Nea Ionia vs Asteras Varis?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nea Ionia vs Asteras Varis?
- The Footlab AI model makes Asteras Varis the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Nea Ionia.
- Where and when is Nea Ionia vs Asteras Varis played?
- Nea Ionia vs Asteras Varis is played on February 14, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Dimotiko Stadio Neas Ionias, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.