Needham Market vs Hitchin Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 38Kick-off on March 26, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ecologic Stadium at Bloomfields, Needham Market, Suffolk
The Footlab model makes Needham Market the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Hitchin Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Needham Market vs Hitchin Town?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Needham Market (1,800) and Hitchin Town (1,795).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Needham Market have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Hitchin Town have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Halesowen Town(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Alvechurch(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Hitchin Town(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bromsgrove Sporting(home) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Banbury United(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Racing Club Warwick(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Redditch United(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Needham Market(home) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rushall Olympic(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Luton(home) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Needham Market win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Hitchin Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | Hitchin Town 1-3 Needham Market | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Hitchin Town 0-2 Needham Market | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2023 | Needham Market 2-0 Hitchin Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jan 2, 2023 | Needham Market 3-0 Hitchin Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 29, 2022 | Hitchin Town 1-0 Needham Market | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Sep 21, 2020 | Hitchin Town 3-0 Needham Market | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Hitchin Town vs Needham Market on Aug 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Needham Market score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hitchin Town score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Needham Market | 1.4 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Hitchin Town | 1.2 | 1.3 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Needham Market sit 14th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (3 points from 3 matches) and Hitchin Town sit 18th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Needham Market | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| 18 | Hitchin Town | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Needham Market vs Hitchin Town?
- The Footlab model makes Needham Market the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Hitchin Town.
- Where and when is Needham Market vs Hitchin Town played?
- Needham Market vs Hitchin Town is played on March 26, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ecologic Stadium at Bloomfields, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 26, 2027StourbridgevsHalesowen Town
- Mar 26, 2027Bury TownvsStamford
- Mar 26, 2027Bishop's StortfordvsLeiston
- Mar 26, 2027Redditch UnitedvsStratford Town
- Mar 26, 2027Rushall OlympicvsBromsgrove Sporting
- Mar 26, 2027Kettering TownvsLeighton Town
- Mar 26, 2027Anstey NomadsvsLeamington
- Mar 26, 2027Racing Club WarwickvsBanbury United