Neftchi vs Buxoro: result 0-1 and analysis
Super LeagueRegular Season - 27Kick-off on October 29, 2016 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Stadion Istiqlol, Fergana
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What was the result of Neftchi vs Buxoro?
Buxoro won 0-1 on October 29, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 59′Bakhodir PardayevBuxoro (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Neftchi have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Buxoro have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2016 | Kokand-1912(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Oct 15, 2016 | Pakhtakor(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Oct 1, 2016 | Obod(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Sep 24, 2016 | Olmaliq(home) | 3-1 | Super League |
| Sep 17, 2016 | Shortan(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2016 | Lokomotiv(home) | 2-2 | Super League |
| Oct 14, 2016 | Navbahor(away) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Sep 28, 2016 | Bunyodkor(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Sep 24, 2016 | Metalourg(away) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Sep 17, 2016 | Qizilqum(home) | 2-0 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Neftchi win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Buxoro win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 16, 2016 | Buxoro 2-0 Neftchi | Super League |
| Nov 5, 2015 | Buxoro 3-1 Neftchi | Super League |
| Jun 26, 2015 | Neftchi 1-0 Buxoro | Super League |
| Aug 3, 2014 | Neftchi 1-0 Buxoro | Super League |
| Mar 15, 2014 | Buxoro 1-0 Neftchi | Super League |
| Aug 17, 2013 | Neftchi 1-0 Buxoro | Super League |
How many goals should we expect?
Neftchi score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Buxoro score 1.4 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neftchi | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Buxoro | 1.4 | 0.8 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Neftchi sit 1st in Super League (28 points from 11 matches) and Buxoro sit 4th (20 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 3 | 28 |
| 1 | Neftchi | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 45 | 10 | 45 |
| 3 | Buxoro | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 28 | 20 | 34 |
| 4 | Buxoro | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 20 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy