Lokomotiv vs Buxoro: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 30Kick-off on December 2, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Lokomotiv, Tashkent
The Footlab AI model makes Lokomotiv the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Buxoro. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lokomotiv wins, the most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,872 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lokomotiv vs Buxoro?
On Elo ratings, Lokomotiv has 1,703 points and Buxoro 1,684.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lokomotiv vs Buxoro
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lokomotiv
4-3-3- 11T. Abdukholikov
- 9S. Nurulloyev
- 10S. Shodiboev
- 17S. Mirzaev
- 99J. Yakhshiboyev
- 23D. Turopov
- 18O. Kucherenko
- 33O. Zoteev
- 28S. Muhammadiyev
- 15A. Šušnjar
- 1A. Kozlov
Buxoro
4-3-3- 22A. Joraboev
- 10S. Ubaydullaev
- 9N. Kacharava
- 25S. Esanov
- 11Temur Mamasidiqov
- 21K. Ruziev
- 78V. Rodić
- 42K. Todorov
- 7K. Mukhtarov
- 27M. Yuldoshev
- 12U. Khamroyev
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 03:33 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lokomotiv have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Buxoro have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Nasaf(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sogdiana(away) | 3-2 | Super League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Neftchi(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Bunyodkor(away) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Mash'al(home) | 3-0 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Dinamo Samarqand(away) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Andijan(home) | 3-2 | Super League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Bunyodkor(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Navbahor(home) | 1-4 | Super League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Qizilqum(away) | 2-3 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Lokomotiv wins, 0 draws, 2 Buxoro wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Buxoro 2-1 Lokomotiv | Super League |
| Apr 23, 2025 | Buxoro 2-0 Lokomotiv | Cup |
| Sep 20, 2020 | Buxoro 1-3 Lokomotiv | Super League |
| Mar 15, 2020 | Lokomotiv 3-0 Buxoro | Super League |
| Oct 19, 2019 | Lokomotiv 2-0 Buxoro | Super League |
| Apr 18, 2019 | Buxoro 0-2 Lokomotiv | Super League |
How many goals should we expect?
Lokomotiv score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Buxoro score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokomotiv | 1.8 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Buxoro | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lokomotiv sit 6th in Super League (39 points from 24 matches) and Buxoro sit 4th (40 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Buxoro | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 37 | 32 | 40 |
| 6 | Lokomotiv | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 30 | 39 |
A question about Lokomotiv vs Buxoro?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lokomotiv vs Buxoro?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lokomotiv the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Buxoro.
- Where and when is Lokomotiv vs Buxoro played?
- Lokomotiv vs Buxoro is played on December 2, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Lokomotiv, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.