Neftchi vs Buxoro: result 3-1 and analysis
Super LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on July 1, 2012 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadion Istiqlol, Fergana
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What was the result of Neftchi vs Buxoro?
Neftchi won 3-1 on July 1, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 28′103557Neftchi
- 60′243559Buxoro
- 70′103557Neftchi (pen.)
- 83′103645Neftchi
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 12 matches in all competitions, Neftchi have 4 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Buxoro have 3, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 26, 2012 | Metalourg(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Jun 21, 2012 | Bunyodkor(home) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Jun 16, 2012 | Navbahor(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Jun 11, 2012 | Pakhtakor(home) | 3-1 | Super League |
| Jun 5, 2012 | Nasaf(away) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 26, 2012 | Nasaf(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Jun 20, 2012 | Dinamo Samarqand(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Jun 15, 2012 | Olmaliq(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| May 19, 2012 | Lokomotiv(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| May 13, 2012 | Metalourg(away) | 0-2 | Super League |
How many goals should we expect?
Neftchi score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 12; Buxoro score 0.6 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neftchi | 1.2 | 0.9 | 3 | 7/12 | 5/12 |
| Buxoro | 0.6 | 1.2 | 2 | 4/12 | 2/12 |
Over the last 12 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Neftchi sit 1st in Super League (28 points from 11 matches) and Buxoro sit 4th (20 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 3 | 28 |
| 1 | Neftchi | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 45 | 10 | 45 |
| 3 | Buxoro | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 28 | 20 | 34 |
| 4 | Buxoro | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 20 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy