Neftchi vs Lokomotiv: result 1-4 and analysis
Super LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on May 4, 2018 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Istiqlol, Fergana
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What was the result of Neftchi vs Lokomotiv?
Lokomotiv won 1-4 on May 4, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 33′H. GafurovLokomotiv
- 52′S. RashidovLokomotiv
- 66′S. RashidovLokomotiv
- 77′I. AlibaevLokomotiv
- 81′73455Neftchi (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Neftchi have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Lokomotiv have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2018 | Navbahor(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Apr 24, 2018 | Metalourg(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Apr 20, 2018 | Qizilqum(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Apr 12, 2018 | Buxoro(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Apr 5, 2018 | Olmaliq(home) | 1-3 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2018 | Pakhtakor(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Apr 26, 2018 | Bunyodkor(away) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Apr 21, 2018 | Sogdiana(home) | 2-0 | Super League |
| Apr 17, 2018 | ZOB Ahan(home) | 1-1 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Apr 11, 2018 | Nasaf(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Neftchi win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Lokomotiv win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2017 | Neftchi 0-0 Lokomotiv | Super League |
| May 27, 2017 | Lokomotiv 4-0 Neftchi | Super League |
| Aug 14, 2016 | Neftchi 1-1 Lokomotiv | Super League |
| Apr 1, 2016 | Lokomotiv 4-0 Neftchi | Super League |
| Aug 8, 2015 | Neftchi 1-2 Lokomotiv | Super League |
| Mar 22, 2015 | Lokomotiv 1-1 Neftchi | Super League |
How many goals should we expect?
Neftchi score 0.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Lokomotiv score 1.5 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neftchi | 0.4 | 0.9 | 6 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
| Lokomotiv | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Neftchi sit 1st in Super League (28 points from 11 matches) and Lokomotiv sit 6th (17 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 3 | 28 |
| 1 | Neftchi | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 45 | 10 | 45 |
| 6 | Lokomotiv | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 17 |
| 6 | Lokomotiv | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 25 | 28 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy