Neftchi vs Pakhtakor: result 1-0 and analysis
Super LeagueRegular Season - 25Kick-off on October 15, 2016 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Stadion Istiqlol, Fergana
Full time
What was the result of Neftchi vs Pakhtakor?
Neftchi won 1-0 on October 15, 2016.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Neftchi have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Pakhtakor have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2016 | Obod(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Sep 24, 2016 | Olmaliq(home) | 3-1 | Super League |
| Sep 17, 2016 | Shortan(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Sep 9, 2016 | Mash'al(home) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Aug 26, 2016 | Sogdiana(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2016 | Lokomotiv(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Sep 24, 2016 | Navbahor(away) | 5-1 | Super League |
| Sep 21, 2016 | Qizilqum(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Sep 17, 2016 | Bunyodkor(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Sep 9, 2016 | Metalourg(away) | 0-2 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Neftchi win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Pakhtakor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 28, 2016 | Pakhtakor 1-2 Neftchi | Super League |
| Sep 30, 2015 | Neftchi 3-2 Pakhtakor | Super League |
| May 16, 2015 | Pakhtakor 2-0 Neftchi | Super League |
| Aug 9, 2014 | Pakhtakor 1-0 Neftchi | Super League |
| Mar 23, 2014 | Neftchi 1-2 Pakhtakor | Super League |
| Oct 29, 2013 | Neftchi 0-3 Pakhtakor | Super League |
How many goals should we expect?
Neftchi score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Pakhtakor score 1.7 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neftchi | 1.2 | 1.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Pakhtakor | 1.7 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Neftchi sit 1st in Super League (28 points from 11 matches) and Pakhtakor sit 2nd (26 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 3 | 28 |
| 1 | Neftchi | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 45 | 10 | 45 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 12 | 26 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 18 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 30 | 17 | 39 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy