Match

Negelle Arsi vs Sidama Bunna: prediction and stats

Premier LeagueMatchday 7Kick-off on November 25, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)

Negelle ArsiSidama Bunna

The Footlab AI model calls this one tight: 32% for Negelle Arsi, 37% for a draw, 31% for Sidama Bunna. The most likely score is 0-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,703 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Negelle Arsi vs Sidama Bunna?

A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Negelle Arsi (1,584) and Sidama Bunna (1,588).

32%37%31%
Negelle Arsi winDrawSidama Bunna win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Negelle Arsi vs Sidama Bunna

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Negelle Arsi

Not enough data to predict the Negelle Arsi lineup.

Sidama Bunna

4-3-3
  1. 2A. Musse
  2. 21T. Bejrond
  3. 20B. Nago
  1. 6Y. Yohannis
  2. 10F. Tewoldebrhan
  3. 8R. Nassir
  1. 14B. Bekele
  2. 31M. Muzie
  3. 15D. Demu
  4. 16Y. Bayeh
  1. 47Y. Abure

Computed on November 14, 2026 at 03:20 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Negelle Arsi have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Sidama Bunna have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Negelle Arsi
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 30, 2026Sheger Ketema(away)2-1Premier League
Oct 26, 2026Adama Kenema(home)1-0Premier League
Oct 21, 2026Ethiopia Bunna(away)3-0Premier League
Oct 16, 2026Mebrat Hayl(away)0-0Premier League
Oct 10, 2026Kedus Giorgis(away)1-1Premier League
Sidama Bunna
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Mekelakeya(home)0-0Premier League
Oct 25, 2026Al Hilal Omdurman(away)0-2CAF Champions League
Oct 18, 2026Al Hilal Omdurman(home)0-2CAF Champions League
Oct 11, 2026Ethiopia Nigd Bank(home)0-1Premier League
Sep 13, 2026Aiglons(home)3-0CAF Champions League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Negelle Arsi win, 1 draw, 1 Sidama Bunna win.

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 20, 2026Sidama Bunna 1-1 Negelle ArsiPremier League
Apr 25, 2026Negelle Arsi 1-2 Sidama BunnaEthiopia Cup
Jan 27, 2026Negelle Arsi 1-0 Sidama BunnaPremier League

Last archived meeting: Sidama Bunna vs Negelle Arsi on Jun 20, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Negelle Arsi score 1.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Sidama Bunna score 0.9 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 22% probability of over 2.5 goals and 31% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Negelle Arsi1.10.885/157/15
Sidama Bunna0.90.863/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Negelle Arsi sit 1st in Premier League (11 points from 5 matches) and Sidama Bunna sit 16th (1 point from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Negelle Arsi53207211
16Sidama Bunna2011011

A question about Negelle Arsi vs Sidama Bunna?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Negelle Arsi vs Sidama Bunna?
The Footlab AI model calls this one tight: 32% for Negelle Arsi, 37% for a draw, 31% for Sidama Bunna.
Where and when is Negelle Arsi vs Sidama Bunna played?
Negelle Arsi vs Sidama Bunna is played on November 25, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 22% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Negelle Arsi and Sidama Bunna