Sheger Ketema vs Gamo Chencha: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on November 25, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Sheger Ketema the favourite at 45%, against 34% for a draw and 21% for Gamo Chencha. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,151 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sheger Ketema vs Gamo Chencha?
A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate Sheger Ketema (1,529) and Gamo Chencha (1,442).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sheger Ketema vs Gamo Chencha
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sheger Ketema
Not enough data to predict the Sheger Ketema lineup.
Gamo Chencha
Not enough data to predict the Gamo Chencha lineup.
Computed on November 9, 2026 at 02:23 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sheger Ketema have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Gamo Chencha have 0, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Negelle Arsi(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Kedus Giorgis(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Mebrat Hayl(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Adama Kenema(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ethiopia Bunna(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Awassa Kenema(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Mekelakeya(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ethiopian Medhin(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Sheger Ketema score 0.8 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Gamo Chencha score 0.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 26% probability of over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheger Ketema | 0.8 | 0.7 | 8 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Gamo Chencha | 0.3 | 1.3 | 1 | 1/4 | 1/4 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sheger Ketema sit 12th in Premier League (5 points from 5 matches) and Gamo Chencha sit 18th (1 point from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Sheger Ketema | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| 18 | Gamo Chencha | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
A question about Sheger Ketema vs Gamo Chencha?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sheger Ketema vs Gamo Chencha?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sheger Ketema the favourite at 45%, against 34% for a draw and 21% for Gamo Chencha.
- Where and when is Sheger Ketema vs Gamo Chencha played?
- Sheger Ketema vs Gamo Chencha is played on November 25, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 26% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 25, 2026Adama KenemavsAwassa Kenema
- Nov 25, 2026BahardarvsMekelakeya
- Nov 25, 2026Ethiopia BunnavsHalaba Ketema
- Nov 25, 2026Fasil KetemavsEthiopian Medhin
- Nov 25, 2026Kedus GiorgisvsWelayta Dicha
- Nov 25, 2026Welwalo Adigrat UnivsEthiopia Nigd Bank
- Nov 25, 2026Mebrat HaylvsHadiya Hosaena
- Nov 25, 2026Negelle ArsivsSidama Bunna