Nesebar vs Lokomotiv Sofia: result 2-1 and analysis
Second LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 26, 2016 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Gradski stadion, Nesebar
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What was the result of Nesebar vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
Nesebar won 2-1 on November 26, 2016.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 13 matches in all competitions, Nesebar have 6 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Lokomotiv Sofia have 3, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2016 | Pomorie(away) | 1-3 | Second League |
| Nov 4, 2016 | Septemvri Sofia(home) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Oct 29, 2016 | Spartak Pleven(away) | 0-2 | Second League |
| Oct 21, 2016 | Oborishte(home) | 3-0 | Second League |
| Oct 15, 2016 | Levski Karlovo(away) | 3-2 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2016 | Tsarsko Selo(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Nov 4, 2016 | Sozopol(away) | 0-0 | Second League |
| Oct 30, 2016 | Vitosha Bistritsa(home) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Oct 22, 2016 | CSKA Sofia II(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Oct 16, 2016 | Botev Galabovo(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
How many goals should we expect?
Nesebar score 1.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 13; Lokomotiv Sofia score 1.0 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nesebar | 1.4 | 1.2 | 6 | 5/13 | 6/13 |
| Lokomotiv Sofia | 1.0 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/13 | 6/13 |
Over the last 13 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Nesebar | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 9 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy