Nesebar vs Ludogorets II: result 1-4 and analysis
Second LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 25, 2016 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Gradski stadion, Nesebar
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What was the result of Nesebar vs Ludogorets II?
Ludogorets II won 1-4 on September 25, 2016.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, Nesebar have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Ludogorets II have 1, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2016 | Tsarsko Selo(away) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Sep 10, 2016 | Sozopol(home) | 0-0 | Second League |
| Aug 27, 2016 | Vitosha Bistritsa(away) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 21, 2016 | CSKA Sofia II(home) | 0-0 | Second League |
| Aug 13, 2016 | Botev Galabovo(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2016 | Lokomotiv Sofia(home) | 0-0 | Second League |
| Sep 10, 2016 | Tsarsko Selo(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 26, 2016 | Pomorie(home) | 4-0 | Second League |
| Aug 21, 2016 | Sozopol(away) | 0-2 | Second League |
| Aug 14, 2016 | Septemvri Sofia(home) | 1-3 | Second League |
How many goals should we expect?
Nesebar score 0.8 and concede 0.2 goals per match over their last 6; Ludogorets II score 0.8 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nesebar | 0.8 | 0.2 | 5 | 0/6 | 0/6 |
| Ludogorets II | 0.8 | 1.0 | 3 | 1/6 | 2/6 |
Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nesebar sit 3rd in Second League (9 points from 5 matches) and Ludogorets II sit 13th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Nesebar | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 9 |
| 13 | Ludogorets II | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy