Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs Ludogorets II: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Lokomotiv, Gorna Oryahovitsa
The Footlab model makes Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Ludogorets II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs Ludogorets II?
A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa (1,554) and Ludogorets II (1,635).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Ludogorets II have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Spartak Pleven(away) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Fratria(home) | 0-2 | Second League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Ludogorets II(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(home) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | CSKA Sofia II(away) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Vihren(home) | 0-2 | Second League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Beroe(away) | 0-2 | Second League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(away) | 1-0 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Ludogorets II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 2026 | Ludogorets II 2-1 Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | Second League |
| May 11, 2026 | Ludogorets II 3-1 Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | Second League |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Ludogorets II 5-0 Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa 0-1 Ludogorets II | Second League |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa 1-1 Ludogorets II | Friendlies Clubs |
| Dec 5, 2024 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa 2-1 Ludogorets II | Second League |
Last archived meeting: Ludogorets II vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa on Aug 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa score 0.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ludogorets II score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | 0.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Ludogorets II | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa sit 10th in Second League (7 points from 5 matches) and Ludogorets II sit 11th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
| 11 | Ludogorets II | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs Ludogorets II?
- The Footlab model makes Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Ludogorets II.
- Where and when is Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs Ludogorets II played?
- Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs Ludogorets II is played on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Lokomotiv, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.