Match

Spartak Pleven vs Nesebar: prediction and stats

Second LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Pleven Stadium, Pleven

Spartak PlevenNesebar

The Footlab AI model makes Spartak Pleven the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Nesebar. The most likely score is 1-1. If Spartak Pleven wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,443 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Spartak Pleven vs Nesebar?

On Elo ratings, Spartak Pleven has 1,551 points and Nesebar 1,666.

41%28%31%
Spartak Pleven winDrawNesebar win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Spartak Pleven vs Nesebar

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Spartak Pleven

4-3-3
  1. 24S. Adelani
  2. 25P. Antonov
  3. 27Adjeil Neves
  1. 4M. Trifonov
  2. 6V. Ivanov
  3. 10V. Shopov
  1. 8R. Marinov
  2. 21K. Velchev
  3. 20P. Spasov
  4. 26D. Stoyanov
  1. 99P. Petrov

Nesebar

4-3-3
  1. 77S. Statev
  2. 99Kristiyan Parashkevov
  3. 11Daniel Cabanelas
  1. 8Viktor Kunev
  2. 22R. Ismailov
  3. 10V. Dotsev
  1. 14Dimitar Balinov
  2. 3D. Lastardzhiev
  3. 5P. Dimov
  4. 21S. Pergelov
  1. 13Martin Sheytanov

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 02:12 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spartak Pleven have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Nesebar have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Spartak Pleven
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Pirin Blagoevgrad(away)1-1Second League
Oct 3, 2026Levski Krumovgrad(away)2-1Cup
Sep 27, 2026Fratria(away)0-3Second League
Sep 21, 2026Ludogorets II(home)1-0Second League
Sep 13, 2026Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(away)0-3Second League
Nesebar
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026CSKA Sofia II(home)0-0Second League
Oct 4, 2026Rodopa Smolyan(away)3-1Cup
Sep 27, 2026Vihren(away)0-2Second League
Sep 20, 2026Beroe(home)4-3Second League
Sep 15, 2026Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(away)1-1Second League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Spartak Pleven wins, 0 draws, 1 Nesebar win.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 22, 2025Nesebar 1-2 Spartak PlevenSecond League
Sep 7, 2024Spartak Pleven 1-0 NesebarSecond League
Apr 30, 2017Nesebar 3-1 Spartak PlevenSecond League
Oct 29, 2016Spartak Pleven 2-0 NesebarSecond League

Last archived meeting: Nesebar vs Spartak Pleven on Mar 22, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Spartak Pleven score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Nesebar score 2.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Spartak Pleven1.11.837/159/15
Nesebar2.31.449/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Spartak Pleven sit 14th in Second League (14 points from 12 matches) and Nesebar sit 7th (18 points from 12 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Nesebar12534201718
14Spartak Pleven12426122314

A question about Spartak Pleven vs Nesebar?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Spartak Pleven vs Nesebar?
The Footlab AI model makes Spartak Pleven the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Nesebar.
Where and when is Spartak Pleven vs Nesebar played?
Spartak Pleven vs Nesebar is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Pleven Stadium, in the Second League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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