Where and when is Spartak Pleven vs Nesebar played?

Spartak Pleven vs Nesebar is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Pleven Stadium, in the Second League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Spartak Pleven vs Nesebar: prediction and stats

Second LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Pleven Stadium, Pleven

Spartak Pleven

Nesebar

The Footlab model makes Nesebar the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Spartak Pleven. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Spartak Pleven vs Nesebar?

Nesebar starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (1,707 vs 1,605).

Spartak Pleven win35 %

Draw28 %

Nesebar win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spartak Pleven have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Nesebar have 12, 0 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Spartak Pleven
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 16, 2026	Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(home)	0-1	Second League
Aug 9, 2026	Rilski Sportist(away)	2-2	Second League
Aug 1, 2026	Marek(home)	2-1	Second League
Jul 25, 2026	Yantra 2019(away)	2-0	Second League
Jul 18, 2026	Montana(away)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs

Nesebar
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Pirin Blagoevgrad(home)	7-0	Second League
Aug 16, 2026	Sportist Svoge(away)	1-0	Second League
Aug 10, 2026	Dobrudzha(home)	2-0	Second League
Aug 4, 2026	Montana(away)	1-3	Second League
Jul 25, 2026	Etar Veliko Tarnovo(home)	1-5	Second League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Spartak Pleven win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Nesebar win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 22, 2025	Nesebar 1-2 Spartak Pleven	Second League
Sep 7, 2024	Spartak Pleven 1-0 Nesebar	Second League
Apr 30, 2017	Nesebar 3-1 Spartak Pleven	Second League
Oct 29, 2016	Spartak Pleven 2-0 Nesebar	Second League

Last archived meeting: Nesebar vs Spartak Pleven on Mar 22, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Spartak Pleven score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Nesebar score 3.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Spartak Pleven	1.4	1.4	5	8/15	8/15
Nesebar	3.7	1.1	7	7/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Spartak Pleven sit 7th in Second League (7 points from 4 matches) and Nesebar sit 4th (9 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Nesebar	5	3	0	2	12	8	9
7	Spartak Pleven	4	2	1	1	6	4	7

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Spartak Pleven vs Nesebar?: The Footlab model makes Nesebar the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Spartak Pleven.
Where and when is Spartak Pleven vs Nesebar played?: Spartak Pleven vs Nesebar is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Pleven Stadium, in the Second League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.