Match

Neustrelitz vs BAK '07: prediction and stats

Oberliga - Nordost-NordNOFV-Nord - 6Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Parkstadion, Neustrelitz

NeustrelitzBAK '07

The Footlab model makes Neustrelitz the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 16% for BAK '07. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Neustrelitz vs BAK '07?

Neustrelitz starts as the favourite with a 105-point Elo edge (1,818 vs 1,714).

Neustrelitz win65 %
Draw19 %
BAK '07 win16 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Neustrelitz have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; BAK '07 have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Neustrelitz
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 14, 2026Siedenbollentin(home)3-2Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
Aug 8, 2026Lichtenberg(away)2-3Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
Aug 2, 2026Hansa Rostock(away)1-4Friendlies Clubs
Jul 11, 2026Greifswalder FC(away)3-5Friendlies Clubs
May 30, 2026BAK '07(home)2-1Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
BAK '07
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2026Reinickendorfer Fuchse(home)2-1Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
Aug 8, 2026Optik Rathenow(away)0-0Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
Jul 17, 2026BFC Dynamo(away)0-2Friendlies Clubs
May 30, 2026Neustrelitz(away)1-2Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
May 17, 2026Union Klosterfelde(home)3-0Oberliga - Nordost-Nord

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Neustrelitz win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 BAK '07 win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 30, 2026Neustrelitz 2-1 BAK '07Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
Nov 30, 2025BAK '07 1-2 NeustrelitzOberliga - Nordost-Nord
Feb 23, 2025Neustrelitz 0-0 BAK '07Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
Aug 24, 2024BAK '07 3-0 NeustrelitzOberliga - Nordost-Nord

Last archived meeting: Neustrelitz vs BAK '07 on May 30, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Neustrelitz score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; BAK '07 score 1.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Neustrelitz2.11.7510/1511/15
BAK '071.32.147/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Neustrelitz sit 7th in Oberliga - Nordost-Nord (3 points from 2 matches) and BAK '07 sit 4th (4 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4BAK '072110214
7Neustrelitz2101553

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Neustrelitz vs BAK '07?
The Footlab model makes Neustrelitz the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 16% for BAK '07.
Where and when is Neustrelitz vs BAK '07 played?
Neustrelitz vs BAK '07 is played on September 27, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Parkstadion, in the Oberliga - Nordost-Nord.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Neustrelitz and BAK '07

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