Neustrelitz vs BAK '07: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Nordost-NordNOFV-Nord - 6Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Parkstadion, Neustrelitz
The Footlab model makes Neustrelitz the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 16% for BAK '07. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Neustrelitz vs BAK '07?
Neustrelitz starts as the favourite with a 105-point Elo edge (1,818 vs 1,714).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Neustrelitz have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; BAK '07 have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Siedenbollentin(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lichtenberg(away) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Hansa Rostock(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Greifswalder FC(away) | 3-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | BAK '07(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Reinickendorfer Fuchse(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Optik Rathenow(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Jul 17, 2026 | BFC Dynamo(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | Neustrelitz(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| May 17, 2026 | Union Klosterfelde(home) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Neustrelitz win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 BAK '07 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Neustrelitz 2-1 BAK '07 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Nov 30, 2025 | BAK '07 1-2 Neustrelitz | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Neustrelitz 0-0 BAK '07 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 24, 2024 | BAK '07 3-0 Neustrelitz | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
Last archived meeting: Neustrelitz vs BAK '07 on May 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Neustrelitz score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; BAK '07 score 1.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neustrelitz | 2.1 | 1.7 | 5 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| BAK '07 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Neustrelitz sit 7th in Oberliga - Nordost-Nord (3 points from 2 matches) and BAK '07 sit 4th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | BAK '07 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Neustrelitz | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Neustrelitz vs BAK '07?
- The Footlab model makes Neustrelitz the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 16% for BAK '07.
- Where and when is Neustrelitz vs BAK '07 played?
- Neustrelitz vs BAK '07 is played on September 27, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Parkstadion, in the Oberliga - Nordost-Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 27, 2026FC Lok StendalvsOptik Rathenow
- Sep 27, 2026Eintracht MahlsdorfvsMecklenburg Schwerin
- Sep 27, 2026Hertha ZehlendorfvsReinickendorfer Fuchse
- Sep 27, 2026Tennis BorussiavsLichtenberg
- Sep 27, 2026Anker WismarvsHansa Rostock II
- Sep 27, 2026MakkabivsSiedenbollentin
- Sep 27, 2026Union KlosterfeldevsSparta Lichtenberg