Union Klosterfelde vs Sparta Lichtenberg: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Nordost-NordNOFV-Nord - 6Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Sportplatz an der Mühlenstraße, Wandlitz
The Footlab model makes Union Klosterfelde the favourite at 60%, against 18% for a draw and 22% for Sparta Lichtenberg. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Union Klosterfelde vs Sparta Lichtenberg?
A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Union Klosterfelde (1,825) and Sparta Lichtenberg (1,739).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Union Klosterfelde have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Sparta Lichtenberg have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lichtenberg(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hansa Rostock II(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Luckenwalde(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 8, 2026 | Altglienicke(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | Dynamo Schwerin(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Mecklenburg Schwerin(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Reinickendorfer Fuchse(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Krieschow(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | Siedenbollentin(away) | 3-4 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| May 17, 2026 | Neustrelitz(home) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Union Klosterfelde win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Sparta Lichtenberg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Union Klosterfelde 2-1 Sparta Lichtenberg | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Sparta Lichtenberg 1-1 Union Klosterfelde | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
Last archived meeting: Union Klosterfelde vs Sparta Lichtenberg on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Union Klosterfelde score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Sparta Lichtenberg score 2.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 80% probability of over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Klosterfelde | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Sparta Lichtenberg | 2.3 | 2.1 | 0 | 14/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Union Klosterfelde sit 3rd in Oberliga - Nordost-Nord (4 points from 2 matches) and Sparta Lichtenberg sit 10th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Union Klosterfelde | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 10 | Sparta Lichtenberg | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Union Klosterfelde vs Sparta Lichtenberg?
- The Footlab model makes Union Klosterfelde the favourite at 60%, against 18% for a draw and 22% for Sparta Lichtenberg.
- Where and when is Union Klosterfelde vs Sparta Lichtenberg played?
- Union Klosterfelde vs Sparta Lichtenberg is played on September 27, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Sportplatz an der Mühlenstraße, in the Oberliga - Nordost-Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 80% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.