Tennis Borussia vs Lichtenberg: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Nordost-NordNOFV-Nord - 6Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Mommsenstadion, Berlin
The Footlab model makes Lichtenberg the favourite at 52%, against 21% for a draw and 27% for Tennis Borussia. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tennis Borussia vs Lichtenberg?
Lichtenberg starts as the favourite with a 215-point Elo edge (1,894 vs 1,679).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tennis Borussia have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Lichtenberg have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Makkabi(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | FC Lok Stendal(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| May 30, 2026 | Lichtenberg(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| May 15, 2026 | Croatia Berlin(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| May 10, 2026 | Hansa Rostock II(away) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Union Klosterfelde(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Neustrelitz(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Dresden II(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 8, 2026 | Hertha BSC(home) | 0-9 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | Tennis Borussia(home) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Tennis Borussia win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Lichtenberg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Lichtenberg 0-1 Tennis Borussia | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Tennis Borussia 3-4 Lichtenberg | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Tennis Borussia 1-3 Lichtenberg | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Lichtenberg 5-2 Tennis Borussia | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| May 11, 2024 | Tennis Borussia 0-4 Lichtenberg | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Nov 3, 2023 | Lichtenberg 2-1 Tennis Borussia | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
Last archived meeting: Lichtenberg vs Tennis Borussia on May 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tennis Borussia score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Lichtenberg score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tennis Borussia | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Lichtenberg | 1.5 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tennis Borussia sit 11th in Oberliga - Nordost-Nord (2 points from 2 matches) and Lichtenberg sit 8th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lichtenberg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 11 | Tennis Borussia | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tennis Borussia vs Lichtenberg?
- The Footlab model makes Lichtenberg the favourite at 52%, against 21% for a draw and 27% for Tennis Borussia.
- Where and when is Tennis Borussia vs Lichtenberg played?
- Tennis Borussia vs Lichtenberg is played on September 27, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Mommsenstadion, in the Oberliga - Nordost-Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 27, 2026FC Lok StendalvsOptik Rathenow
- Sep 27, 2026Eintracht MahlsdorfvsMecklenburg Schwerin
- Sep 27, 2026Hertha ZehlendorfvsReinickendorfer Fuchse
- Sep 27, 2026NeustrelitzvsBAK '07
- Sep 27, 2026Anker WismarvsHansa Rostock II
- Sep 27, 2026MakkabivsSiedenbollentin
- Sep 27, 2026Union KlosterfeldevsSparta Lichtenberg