Where and when is New York City II vs Connecticut FC played?

New York City II vs Connecticut FC is played on September 13, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Belson Stadium at St John's University, in the MLS Next Pro.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

New York City II vs Connecticut FC: prediction and stats

MLS Next ProGroup StageKick-off on September 13, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Belson Stadium at St John's University

New York City II

Connecticut FC

The Footlab model makes New York City II the favourite at 43%, against 22% for a draw and 34% for Connecticut FC. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win New York City II vs Connecticut FC?

A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate New York City II (1,665) and Connecticut FC (1,710).

New York City II win43 %

Draw22 %

Connecticut FC win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, New York City II have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Connecticut FC have 11, 1 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

New York City II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	New England II(home)	2-1	MLS Next Pro
Aug 19, 2026	FC Cincinnati II(home)	5-0	MLS Next Pro
Aug 15, 2026	Columbus Crew II(away)	2-4	MLS Next Pro
Aug 11, 2026	Orlando City II(home)	3-0	MLS Next Pro
Aug 1, 2026	Philadelphia Union II(home)	1-1	MLS Next Pro

Connecticut FC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Philadelphia Union II(away)	4-2	MLS Next Pro
Aug 19, 2026	Crown Legacy(away)	2-0	MLS Next Pro
Aug 16, 2026	FC Cincinnati II(away)	3-2	MLS Next Pro
Aug 9, 2026	New England II(home)	1-2	MLS Next Pro
Aug 1, 2026	Orlando City II(home)	4-2	MLS Next Pro

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 New York City II win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Connecticut FC win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jun 26, 2026	Connecticut FC 1-4 New York City II	MLS Next Pro
Apr 19, 2026	New York City II 2-1 Connecticut FC	MLS Next Pro

Last archived meeting: Connecticut FC vs New York City II on Jun 26, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

New York City II score 2.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Connecticut FC score 2.6 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
New York City II	2.3	1.4	5	9/15	11/15
Connecticut FC	2.6	1.6	2	13/15	14/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

New York City II sit 8th in MLS Next Pro (39 points from 23 matches) and Connecticut FC sit 3rd (43 points from 24 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Connecticut FC	24	15	9	49	41	43
3	Connecticut FC	24	15	9	49	41	43
5	New York City II	23	13	10	42	35	39
7	Connecticut FC	22	13	9	43	39	37
8	New York City II	23	13	10	42	35	39
10	New York City II	21	11	10	35	34	33

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for New York City II vs Connecticut FC?: The Footlab model makes New York City II the favourite at 43%, against 22% for a draw and 34% for Connecticut FC.
Where and when is New York City II vs Connecticut FC played?: New York City II vs Connecticut FC is played on September 13, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Belson Stadium at St John's University, in the MLS Next Pro.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.