New York RB II vs FC Cincinnati II: prediction and stats
MLS Next ProGroup StageKick-off on September 13, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)MSU Soccer Park at Pittser Field, Montclair, New Jersey
The Footlab model makes New York RB II the favourite at 79%, against 13% for a draw and 8% for FC Cincinnati II. The most likely score is 3-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win New York RB II vs FC Cincinnati II?
New York RB II starts as the favourite with a 180-point Elo edge (1,703 vs 1,524).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, New York RB II have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; FC Cincinnati II have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Toronto II(home) | 5-1 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Atlanta United II(away) | 2-1 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Columbus Crew II(away) | 2-1 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 2, 2026 | New England II(home) | 1-4 | MLS Next Pro |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Crown Legacy(home) | 0-3 | MLS Next Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Carolina Core(away) | 3-1 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 19, 2026 | New York City II(away) | 0-5 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Connecticut FC(home) | 2-3 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Philadelphia Union II(away) | 1-2 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Chicago Fire II(away) | 2-7 | MLS Next Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 New York RB II win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 FC Cincinnati II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 5, 2026 | FC Cincinnati II 2-2 New York RB II | MLS Next Pro |
| Apr 19, 2026 | New York RB II 3-1 FC Cincinnati II | MLS Next Pro |
| Oct 1, 2025 | FC Cincinnati II 2-1 New York RB II | MLS Next Pro |
| Jun 29, 2025 | New York RB II 3-3 FC Cincinnati II | MLS Next Pro |
| Apr 20, 2025 | FC Cincinnati II 3-1 New York RB II | MLS Next Pro |
| May 19, 2024 | New York RB II 1-4 FC Cincinnati II | MLS Next Pro |
Last archived meeting: FC Cincinnati II vs New York RB II on Jul 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
New York RB II score 1.9 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; FC Cincinnati II score 1.1 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York RB II | 1.9 | 2.0 | 2 | 10/15 | 14/15 |
| FC Cincinnati II | 1.1 | 2.5 | 1 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
New York RB II sit 6th in MLS Next Pro (41 points from 24 matches) and FC Cincinnati II sit 15th (19 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | New York RB II | 24 | 13 | 0 | 11 | 50 | 39 | 41 |
| 5 | New York RB II | 23 | 12 | 0 | 11 | 45 | 38 | 38 |
| 6 | New York RB II | 24 | 13 | 0 | 11 | 50 | 39 | 41 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati II | 24 | 7 | 0 | 17 | 27 | 54 | 19 |
| 15 | FC Cincinnati II | 24 | 7 | 0 | 17 | 27 | 54 | 19 |
| 15 | FC Cincinnati II | 22 | 6 | 0 | 16 | 24 | 48 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for New York RB II vs FC Cincinnati II?
- The Footlab model makes New York RB II the favourite at 79%, against 13% for a draw and 8% for FC Cincinnati II.
- Where and when is New York RB II vs FC Cincinnati II played?
- New York RB II vs FC Cincinnati II is played on September 13, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at MSU Soccer Park at Pittser Field, in the MLS Next Pro.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 28, 2026Inter Miami II1-1Chicago Fire II
- Feb 28, 2026Philadelphia Union II1-0Toronto II
- Feb 28, 2026St. Louis City II4-0Sporting KC II
- Mar 1, 2026Chattanooga1-4Crown Legacy
- Mar 1, 2026Portland Timbers II2-1The Town
- Mar 1, 2026New York RB II4-2Columbus Crew II
- Mar 1, 2026Real Monarchs2-2North Texas
- Mar 1, 2026FC Cincinnati II1-3Connecticut FC