Match

New York RB II vs FC Cincinnati II: prediction and stats

MLS Next ProGroup StageKick-off on September 13, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)MSU Soccer Park at Pittser Field, Montclair, New Jersey

New York RB IIFC Cincinnati II

The Footlab model makes New York RB II the favourite at 79%, against 13% for a draw and 8% for FC Cincinnati II. The most likely score is 3-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win New York RB II vs FC Cincinnati II?

New York RB II starts as the favourite with a 180-point Elo edge (1,703 vs 1,524).

New York RB II win79 %
Draw13 %
FC Cincinnati II win8 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, New York RB II have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; FC Cincinnati II have 2, 2 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

New York RB II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Toronto II(home)5-1MLS Next Pro
Aug 14, 2026Atlanta United II(away)2-1MLS Next Pro
Aug 8, 2026Columbus Crew II(away)2-1MLS Next Pro
Aug 2, 2026New England II(home)1-4MLS Next Pro
Jul 24, 2026Crown Legacy(home)0-3MLS Next Pro
FC Cincinnati II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Carolina Core(away)3-1MLS Next Pro
Aug 19, 2026New York City II(away)0-5MLS Next Pro
Aug 16, 2026Connecticut FC(home)2-3MLS Next Pro
Aug 8, 2026Philadelphia Union II(away)1-2MLS Next Pro
Aug 2, 2026Chicago Fire II(away)2-7MLS Next Pro

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 New York RB II win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 FC Cincinnati II win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 5, 2026FC Cincinnati II 2-2 New York RB IIMLS Next Pro
Apr 19, 2026New York RB II 3-1 FC Cincinnati IIMLS Next Pro
Oct 1, 2025FC Cincinnati II 2-1 New York RB IIMLS Next Pro
Jun 29, 2025New York RB II 3-3 FC Cincinnati IIMLS Next Pro
Apr 20, 2025FC Cincinnati II 3-1 New York RB IIMLS Next Pro
May 19, 2024New York RB II 1-4 FC Cincinnati IIMLS Next Pro

Last archived meeting: FC Cincinnati II vs New York RB II on Jul 5, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

New York RB II score 1.9 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; FC Cincinnati II score 1.1 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
New York RB II1.92.0210/1514/15
FC Cincinnati II1.12.519/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

New York RB II sit 6th in MLS Next Pro (41 points from 24 matches) and FC Cincinnati II sit 15th (19 points from 24 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4New York RB II2413011503941
5New York RB II2312011453838
6New York RB II2413011503941
8FC Cincinnati II247017275419
15FC Cincinnati II247017275419
15FC Cincinnati II226016244816

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for New York RB II vs FC Cincinnati II?
The Footlab model makes New York RB II the favourite at 79%, against 13% for a draw and 8% for FC Cincinnati II.
Where and when is New York RB II vs FC Cincinnati II played?
New York RB II vs FC Cincinnati II is played on September 13, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at MSU Soccer Park at Pittser Field, in the MLS Next Pro.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: New York RB II and FC Cincinnati II

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