Newcastle Jets vs Sydney: prediction and stats
A-LeagueRegular Season - 22Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 08:40 AM (UTC)McDonald Jones Stadium, Newcastle
The Footlab AI model makes Newcastle Jets the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Sydney. The most likely score is 1-1. If Newcastle Jets wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Newcastle Jets vs Sydney?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Newcastle Jets (1,861) and Sydney (1,890).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Newcastle Jets vs Sydney
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Newcastle Jets
4-1-4-1- 9N. Vergos
- 14M. Burgess
- 28W. Dobson
- 10Z. Clough
- 6Z. Schreiber
- 43X. Bertoncello
- 23D. Wilmering
- 5J. Shaughnessy
- 22J. Bertolissio
- 39T. Aquilina
- 1J. Delianov
Sydney
4-2-3-1- 90O. Sunday
- 20T. Quintal
- 14T. Sekine
- 29J. Lacey
- 7A. Akon
- 15J. Hollman
- 23R. Grant
- 17B. Garuccio
- 4J. Courtney-Perkins
- 41A. Popovic
- 1G. Hoefsloot
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 07:51 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newcastle Jets have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Sydney have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Gamba Osaka(home) | 1-3 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Kashima(away) | 1-7 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Preston Lions(away) | 2-3 | Australia Cup |
| May 16, 2026 | Sydney(home) | 1-1 | A-League |
| May 9, 2026 | Sydney(away) | 1-1 | A-League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2026 | Melbourne Victory(home) | 0-2 | Australia Cup |
| Aug 18, 2026 | SD Raiders(away) | 1-0 | Australia Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Brisbane Roar(away) | 4-2 | Australia Cup |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Tottenham(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Bayswater City(away) | 5-1 | Australia Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Newcastle Jets wins, 2 draws, 2 Sydney wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Newcastle Jets 1-1 Sydney | A-League |
| May 9, 2026 | Sydney 1-1 Newcastle Jets | A-League |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Sydney 1-2 Newcastle Jets | A-League |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Newcastle Jets 2-0 Sydney | A-League |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Newcastle Jets 1-4 Sydney | A-League |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Sydney 3-2 Newcastle Jets | A-League |
Last archived meeting: Newcastle Jets vs Sydney on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Newcastle Jets score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sydney score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle Jets | 1.6 | 1.7 | 3 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Sydney | 1.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Newcastle Jets sit 1st in A-League (48 points from 26 matches) and Sydney sit 5th (39 points from 26 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle Jets | 26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 55 | 39 | 48 |
| 5 | Sydney | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 33 | 25 | 39 |
A question about Newcastle Jets vs Sydney?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Newcastle Jets vs Sydney?
- The Footlab AI model makes Newcastle Jets the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Sydney.
- Where and when is Newcastle Jets vs Sydney played?
- Newcastle Jets vs Sydney is played on March 20, 2027 at 08:40 AM (UTC) at McDonald Jones Stadium, in the A-League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.