Newcastle vs Birmingham: result 3-1 and analysis
FA Cup3rd Round ReplaysKick-off on January 18, 2017 at 07:45 PM (UTC)St. James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne
Full time
What was the result of Newcastle vs Birmingham?
Newcastle won 3-1 on January 18, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 9′M. RitchieNewcastle (pen.)
- 34′Yoan GouffranNewcastle
- 71′David Rhys George CotterillBirmingham
- 90′M. RitchieNewcastle
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newcastle have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Birmingham have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2017 | Brentford(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Jan 7, 2017 | Birmingham(away) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Jan 2, 2017 | Blackburn(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Dec 30, 2016 | Nottingham Forest(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Dec 26, 2016 | Sheffield Wednesday(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2017 | Nottingham Forest(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Jan 7, 2017 | Newcastle(home) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Jan 2, 2017 | Brentford(home) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Dec 31, 2016 | Barnsley(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Dec 27, 2016 | Derby(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Newcastle win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Birmingham win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2017 | Birmingham 1-1 Newcastle | FA Cup |
| Dec 10, 2016 | Newcastle 4-0 Birmingham | Championship |
| May 7, 2011 | Newcastle 2-1 Birmingham | Premier League |
| Feb 15, 2011 | Birmingham 0-2 Newcastle | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Birmingham vs Newcastle on Jan 7, 2017
How many goals should we expect?
Newcastle score 1.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Birmingham score 1.1 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle | 1.9 | 0.8 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Birmingham | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy