Newcastle vs Derby: result 1-0 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 30Kick-off on February 4, 2017 at 03:00 PM (UTC)St. James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne
Full time
What was the result of Newcastle vs Derby?
Newcastle won 1-0 on February 4, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 27′M. RitchieNewcastle
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newcastle have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Derby have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2017 | QPR(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Jan 28, 2017 | Oxford United(away) | 0-3 | FA Cup |
| Jan 21, 2017 | Rotherham(home) | 4-0 | Championship |
| Jan 18, 2017 | Birmingham(home) | 3-1 | FA Cup |
| Jan 14, 2017 | Brentford(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2017 | Ipswich(away) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Jan 27, 2017 | Leicester(home) | 2-2 | FA Cup |
| Jan 21, 2017 | Reading(home) | 3-2 | Championship |
| Jan 13, 2017 | Leeds(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Jan 7, 2017 | West Brom(away) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Newcastle win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Derby win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2016 | Derby 0-2 Newcastle | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Newcastle score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 1.7 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle | 1.7 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Derby | 1.7 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy