Newcastle vs Leeds: result 4-3 and analysis
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on January 7, 2026 at 08:15 PM (UTC)St. James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne
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What was the result of Newcastle vs Leeds?
Newcastle won 4-3 on January 7, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 32′B. AaronsonLeeds
- 36′H. BarnesNewcastle
- 45′D. Calvert-LewinLeeds (pen.)
- 54′JoelintonNewcastle
- 79′B. AaronsonLeeds
- 90′Bruno GuimarãesNewcastle (pen.)
- 90′H. BarnesNewcastle
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newcastle have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Leeds have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2026 | Crystal Palace(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Dec 30, 2025 | Burnley(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Manchester United(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Chelsea(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Dec 17, 2025 | Fulham(home) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2026 | Manchester United(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Jan 1, 2026 | Liverpool(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Dec 28, 2025 | Sunderland(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Crystal Palace(home) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Brentford(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Newcastle win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Leeds win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2025 | Leeds 0-0 Newcastle | Premier League |
| May 13, 2023 | Leeds 2-2 Newcastle | Premier League |
| Dec 31, 2022 | Newcastle 0-0 Leeds | Premier League |
| Jan 22, 2022 | Leeds 0-1 Newcastle | Premier League |
| Sep 17, 2021 | Newcastle 1-1 Leeds | Premier League |
| Jan 26, 2021 | Newcastle 1-2 Leeds | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Newcastle score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Leeds score 1.5 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle | 1.7 | 1.4 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Leeds | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Newcastle sit 12th in Premier League (49 points from 38 matches) and Leeds sit 14th (47 points from 38 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Newcastle | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53 | 55 | 49 |
| 14 | Leeds | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49 | 56 | 47 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy