Newington Youth vs Ballinamallard United: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Inver Park, Larne
The Footlab model makes Newington Youth the favourite at 70%, against 18% for a draw and 12% for Ballinamallard United. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Newington Youth vs Ballinamallard United?
Newington Youth starts as the favourite with a 261-point Elo edge (1,472 vs 1,211).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newington Youth have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Ballinamallard United have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rathfriland(home) | 4-0 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Queen's University(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Loughgall(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Annagh United(home) | 4-1 | Championship |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Crusaders FC(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dundela(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Moyola Park(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Institute(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Newry City AFC(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Bangor(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Newington Youth win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Ballinamallard United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Newington Youth 4-0 Ballinamallard United | Championship |
| Nov 21, 2025 | Ballinamallard United 3-3 Newington Youth | Championship |
| Sep 5, 2025 | Newington Youth 4-1 Ballinamallard United | Championship |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Newington Youth 2-1 Ballinamallard United | Championship |
| Feb 18, 2025 | Ballinamallard United 3-2 Newington Youth | Championship |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Newington Youth 1-0 Ballinamallard United | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Newington Youth vs Ballinamallard United on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Newington Youth score 2.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ballinamallard United score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newington Youth | 2.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Ballinamallard United | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Newington Youth sit 1st in Championship (10 points from 4 matches) and Ballinamallard United sit 9th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newington Youth | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Newington Youth | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 77 | 62 | 60 |
| 4 | Newington Youth | 33 | 15 | 6 | 12 | 69 | 52 | 51 |
| 9 | Ballinamallard United | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| 10 | Ballinamallard United | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 52 | 34 |
| 10 | Ballinamallard United | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 44 | 60 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Newington Youth vs Ballinamallard United?
- The Footlab model makes Newington Youth the favourite at 70%, against 18% for a draw and 12% for Ballinamallard United.
- Where and when is Newington Youth vs Ballinamallard United played?
- Newington Youth vs Ballinamallard United is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Inver Park, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.