Newport County vs Swindon Town: result 1-2 and analysis
EFL Trophy1st RoundKick-off on September 23, 2014 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Rodney Parade, Casnewydd
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What was the result of Newport County vs Swindon Town?
Swindon Town won 1-2 on September 23, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 45′J. ObikaSwindon Town
- 62′A. WilliamsSwindon Town
- 81′Y. KlukowskiNewport County
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newport County have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Swindon Town have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2014 | Shrewsbury(away) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Sep 16, 2014 | Tranmere(away) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Sep 13, 2014 | Northampton(home) | 3-2 | League Two |
| Sep 8, 2014 | Cambridge United(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Aug 30, 2014 | Portsmouth(away) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2014 | Sheffield Utd(home) | 5-2 | League One |
| Sep 16, 2014 | Oldham(home) | 2-2 | League One |
| Sep 13, 2014 | Bradford(away) | 2-1 | League One |
| Aug 30, 2014 | Coventry(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 26, 2014 | Brighton(home) | 2-4 | League Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Newport County score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Swindon Town score 1.7 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newport County | 1.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Swindon Town | 1.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Newport County sit 3rd in EFL Trophy (3 points from 3 matches) and Swindon Town sit 1st (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swindon Town | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 6 |
| 3 | Newport County | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy