Newry City AFC vs Ards: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 26Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Showgrounds, Newry
The Footlab AI model makes Ards the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Newry City AFC. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ards wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Newry City AFC vs Ards?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Newry City AFC (1,343) and Ards (1,394).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Newry City AFC vs Ards
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Newry City AFC
4-3-3- 19K. Dalton
- RR. McNickle
- 14A. Salley
- 17C. McNally
- 12E. McEnteggart
- 7J. Chambers
- 20Scott McCullough
- 3J. King
- 4M. Rendina
- 4R. McGivern
- 1Jason Craughwell
Ards
Not enough data to predict the Ards lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 04:06 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newry City AFC have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Ards have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Dundela(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Loughgall(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | H&W Welders(home) | 3-2 | Championship |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Annagh United(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Strabane Athletic(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Newington Youth(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ballinamallard United(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Strabane Athletic(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Moyola Park(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Rathfriland(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Newry City AFC wins, 1 draw, 1 Ards win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2025 | Newry City AFC 2-0 Ards | Championship |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Ards 0-1 Newry City AFC | Championship |
| Oct 4, 2024 | Newry City AFC 1-4 Ards | Championship |
| Mar 12, 2022 | Newry City AFC 4-0 Ards | Championship |
| Oct 29, 2021 | Ards 1-1 Newry City AFC | Championship |
| Aug 27, 2021 | Newry City AFC 2-1 Ards | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Newry City AFC vs Ards on Mar 4, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Newry City AFC score 1.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Ards score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newry City AFC | 1.6 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Ards | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Newry City AFC sit 7th in Championship (15 points from 10 matches) and Ards sit 8th (52 points from 38 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Newry City AFCChampionship 1 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 18 | 15 |
| 8 | ArdsChampionship 1: Relegation Group | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 56 | 51 | 52 |
A question about Newry City AFC vs Ards?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Newry City AFC vs Ards?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ards the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Newry City AFC.
- Where and when is Newry City AFC vs Ards played?
- Newry City AFC vs Ards is played on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Showgrounds, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.