Rathfriland vs Dundela: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 26Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Iveagh Park, Rathfriland
The Footlab AI model makes Rathfriland the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Dundela. The most likely score is 1-1. If Rathfriland wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,921 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rathfriland vs Dundela?
Rathfriland starts as the favourite with a 141-point Elo edge (1,388 vs 1,248).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Rathfriland vs Dundela
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Rathfriland
4-3-3- RRuairi Fitzpatrick
- EE. Rooney
- DD. Tate
- AAndrew Kilmartin
- 23J. Corbett
- MMaurice Jack Chambers
- JJ. Barbour
- DDaniel Devlin
- JJ. Cooper
- BB. Johnston
- SS. Maguire
Dundela
Not enough data to predict the Dundela lineup.
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 04:10 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rathfriland have 7 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats; Dundela have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Ards(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Dundela(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Armagh City(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | H&W Welders(away) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Warrenpoint Town(home) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Moyola Park(home) | 1-4 | League Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Rathfriland(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Newry City AFC(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Queen's University(home) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Armagh City(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Rathfriland win, 0 draws, 0 Dundela wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Dundela 0-1 Rathfriland | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Dundela vs Rathfriland on Oct 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rathfriland score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Dundela score 1.4 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rathfriland | 1.3 | 1.6 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Dundela | 1.4 | 2.1 | 1 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rathfriland sit 15th in Championship (6 points from 10 matches) and Dundela sit 11th (28 points from 38 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | DundelaChampionship 1: Relegation Group | 38 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 43 | 77 | 28 |
| 15 | RathfrilandChampionship 1 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 9 | 22 | 6 |
A question about Rathfriland vs Dundela?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rathfriland vs Dundela?
- The Footlab AI model makes Rathfriland the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Dundela.
- Where and when is Rathfriland vs Dundela played?
- Rathfriland vs Dundela is played on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Iveagh Park, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.