Match

Newton Stewart vs Johnstone Burgh: prediction and stats

Football League - Lowland LeagueRegular SeasonKick-off on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Blairmount Park, Newton Stewart

Newton Stewart Johnstone Burgh

The Footlab model makes Johnstone Burgh the favourite at 41%, against 22% for a draw and 36% for Newton Stewart. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Newton Stewart vs Johnstone Burgh?

Johnstone Burgh starts as the favourite with a 119-point Elo edge (1,591 vs 1,473).

Newton Stewart win36 %
Draw22 %
Johnstone Burgh win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 12 matches in all competitions, Newton Stewart have 1 wins, 1 draws and 10 defeats; Johnstone Burgh have 2, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Newton Stewart
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 8, 2026Pollok(home)2-2Football League - Lowland League
Aug 1, 2026Auchinleck Talbot(home)0-9Football League - Lowland League
Jul 29, 2026Gretna 2008(away)0-3Football League - Lowland League
Jul 25, 2026Clydebank(away)2-4Football League - Lowland League
Aug 30, 2025Glasgow University(away)1-3FA Cup
Johnstone Burgh
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 19, 2026Pollok(away)1-3Football League - Lowland League
Aug 8, 2026Albion Rovers(home)2-2Football League - Lowland League
Aug 1, 2026Celtic II(away)1-1Football League - Lowland League
Jul 29, 2026Troon FC(home)2-0Football League - Lowland League
Jul 4, 2026Elgin City(home)2-3Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Newton Stewart score 0.8 and concede 3.7 goals per match over their last 12; Johnstone Burgh score 1.6 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Newton Stewart0.83.716/1211/12
Johnstone Burgh1.61.825/85/8

Over the last 12 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Newton Stewart sit 32nd in Football League - Lowland League (1 points from 4 matches) and Johnstone Burgh sit 20th (5 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
20 Johnstone Burgh4121665
32Newton Stewart40134181

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Newton Stewart vs Johnstone Burgh?
The Footlab model makes Johnstone Burgh the favourite at 41%, against 22% for a draw and 36% for Newton Stewart.
Where and when is Newton Stewart vs Johnstone Burgh played?
Newton Stewart vs Johnstone Burgh is played on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Blairmount Park, in the Football League - Lowland League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Newton Stewart and Johnstone Burgh

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