NFA Kaunas vs Pakruojis: result 1-3 and analysis
1 LygaRegular Season - 5Kick-off on April 21, 2018 at 09:00 AM (UTC)Nacionalinės futbolo akademijos stadionas, Kaunas
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What was the result of NFA Kaunas vs Pakruojis?
Pakruojis won 1-3 on April 21, 2018.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, NFA Kaunas have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Pakruojis have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2018 | Banga(away) | 0-2 | 1 Lyga |
| Apr 14, 2018 | Kupiškis(home) | 5-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Apr 6, 2018 | Trakai II(home) | 3-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Apr 2, 2018 | Vilniaus Vytis(home) | 1-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Oct 27, 2012 | Šilutė(home) | 2-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2018 | Džiugas Telšiai(away) | 4-3 | 1 Lyga |
| Apr 6, 2018 | Nevėžis(away) | 1-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Mar 31, 2018 | Utenis Utena(away) | 0-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Mar 25, 2018 | Panevėžys(away) | 0-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Oct 15, 2017 | Banga(away) | 0-5 | 1 Lyga |
How many goals should we expect?
NFA Kaunas score 2.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Pakruojis score 1.1 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NFA Kaunas | 2.3 | 1.8 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Pakruojis | 1.1 | 1.7 | 5 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy