NFA Kaunas vs Polonija: result 5-1 and analysis
1 LygaRegular Season - 7Kick-off on May 26, 2012 at 09:00 AM (UTC)Nacionalinės futbolo akademijos stadionas, Kaunas
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What was the result of NFA Kaunas vs Polonija?
NFA Kaunas won 5-1 on May 26, 2012.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 11 matches in all competitions, NFA Kaunas have 3 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Polonija have 3, 0 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2012 | Jonava(home) | 0-3 | 1 Lyga |
| May 16, 2012 | Venta(away) | 5-4 | 1 Lyga |
| May 12, 2012 | Palanga(home) | 2-3 | 1 Lyga |
| May 5, 2012 | Kedainiai(home) | 2-2 | 1 Lyga |
| May 2, 2012 | Nevėžis(away) | 0-4 | 1 Lyga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2012 | Palanga(away) | 2-1 | 1 Lyga |
| May 12, 2012 | Granitas(away) | 1-3 | 1 Lyga |
| May 6, 2012 | Nevėžis(home) | 2-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Apr 28, 2012 | FK Trakai(home) | 1-2 | 1 Lyga |
| Apr 21, 2012 | Jonava(home) | 0-1 | 1 Lyga |
How many goals should we expect?
NFA Kaunas score 2.7 and concede 2.6 goals per match over their last 11; Polonija score 1.3 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NFA Kaunas | 2.7 | 2.6 | 1 | 8/11 | 10/11 |
| Polonija | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1 | 4/6 | 4/6 |
Over the last 11 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy