Nicaragua vs St. Lucia: prediction and stats
World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF1st Round - 1Kick-off on March 25, 2021 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Nacional de Fútbol (UNAN), Managua
Match cancelled
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nicaragua have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; St. Lucia have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2021 | Guatemala(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Oct 11, 2020 | Honduras(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Oct 7, 2020 | Guatemala(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Nov 19, 2019 | Suriname(home) | 1-2 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Nov 15, 2019 | St. Vincent / Grenadines(away) | 0-1 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2019 | Montserrat(home) | 0-1 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Nov 17, 2019 | Dominican Republic(home) | 1-0 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Oct 15, 2019 | El Salvador(home) | 0-2 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Oct 13, 2019 | Dominican Republic(away) | 0-3 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Oct 6, 2019 | Dominica(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Nicaragua score 0.7 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; St. Lucia score 1.1 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicaragua | 0.7 | 1.8 | 3 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| St. Lucia | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nicaragua | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 23, 2021Suriname3-0Cayman Islands
- Mar 23, 2021Antigua and Barbuda2-2Montserrat
- Mar 24, 2021St. Kitts and Nevis1-0Puerto Rico
- Mar 24, 2021Curaçao5-0St. Vincent / Grenadines
- Mar 24, 2021Dominican Republic1-0Dominica
- Mar 25, 2021Guatemala1-0Cuba
- Mar 25, 2021Haiti2-0Belize
- Mar 25, 2021Trinidad and Tobago3-0Guyana