Nice vs Paris Saint Germain: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 11Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Allianz Riviera, Nice
The Footlab AI model makes Paris Saint Germain the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Nice. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nice vs Paris Saint Germain?
Paris Saint Germain is a heavy favourite: 2,310 Elo points against 1,976, a 334-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Nice vs Paris Saint Germain
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Nice
3-4-2-1- 11E. Wahi
- 92J. Clauss
- 39D. Coulibaly
- 28A. Witsel
- 7G. Hein
- 27N. Nkounkou
- 9M. Amoura
- 55Y. Ndayishimiye
- 35X. Mandza Tsiendi
- 5Mohamed Abdelmonem
- 23Y. Diouf
Paris Saint Germain
4-3-3- 9Ferran Torres
- 11M. Akliouche
- 7K. Kvaratskhelia
- 87João Neves
- 17Vitinha
- 4Beraldo
- 2A. Hakimi
- 51W. Pacho
- 6I. Zabarnyi
- 33W. Zaïre-Emery
- 39M. Safonov
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:45 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nice have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Paris Saint Germain have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Strasbourg(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Lille(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Auxerre(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Le Mans(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Paris FC(away) | 0-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Le Mans(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Marseille(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Stade Brestois 29(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Slovan Bratislava(home) | 6-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Monaco(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Nice win, 1 draw, 4 Paris Saint Germain wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Nice 0-4 Paris Saint Germain | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Paris Saint Germain 1-0 Nice | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 25, 2025 | Paris Saint Germain 1-3 Nice | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Nice 1-1 Paris Saint Germain | Ligue 1 |
| May 15, 2024 | Nice 1-2 Paris Saint Germain | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 13, 2024 | Paris Saint Germain 3-1 Nice | Coupe de France |
Last archived meeting: Nice vs Paris Saint Germain on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nice score 1.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Paris Saint Germain score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nice | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Paris Saint Germain | 1.7 | 1.2 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nice sit 9th in Ligue 1 (8 points from 6 matches) and Paris Saint Germain sit 6th (11 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Paris Saint Germain | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 11 |
| 9 | Nice | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 8 |
A question about Nice vs Paris Saint Germain?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nice vs Paris Saint Germain?
- The Footlab AI model makes Paris Saint Germain the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Nice.
- Where and when is Nice vs Paris Saint Germain played?
- Nice vs Paris Saint Germain is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Allianz Riviera, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.