Niendorfer TSV vs Paloma: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HamburgHamburg - 34Kick-off on May 23, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Sportanlage Sachsenweg, Hamburg
The Footlab model makes Paloma the favourite at 43%, against 21% for a draw and 36% for Niendorfer TSV. The most likely score is 2-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Niendorfer TSV vs Paloma?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Niendorfer TSV (1,901) and Paloma (1,907).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Niendorfer TSV have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Paloma have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Victoria Hamburg(home) | 0-6 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Vorwärts-Wacker 04(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 2, 2026 | HT16(home) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 26, 2026 | HEBC(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Eimsbütteler TV(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Pinneberg(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Victoria Hamburg(away) | 5-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Vorwärts-Wacker 04(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 24, 2026 | HT16(away) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 15, 2026 | Türkiye(away) | 6-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Niendorfer TSV win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Paloma win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2026 | Niendorfer TSV 5-3 Paloma | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 27, 2025 | Paloma 0-3 Niendorfer TSV | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Niendorfer TSV 2-2 Paloma | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Paloma 2-1 Niendorfer TSV | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 17, 2024 | Niendorfer TSV 2-2 Paloma | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Paloma 2-1 Niendorfer TSV | Oberliga - Hamburg |
Last archived meeting: Niendorfer TSV vs Paloma on Apr 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Niendorfer TSV score 2.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Paloma score 2.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 80% probability of over 2.5 goals and 78% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niendorfer TSV | 2.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Paloma | 2.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Niendorfer TSV sit 9th in Oberliga - Hamburg (50 points from 34 matches) and Paloma sit 5th (61 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Paloma | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 84 | 50 | 61 |
| 9 | Niendorfer TSV | 34 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 75 | 57 | 50 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Niendorfer TSV vs Paloma?
- The Footlab model makes Paloma the favourite at 43%, against 21% for a draw and 36% for Niendorfer TSV.
- Where and when is Niendorfer TSV vs Paloma played?
- Niendorfer TSV vs Paloma is played on May 23, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Sportanlage Sachsenweg, in the Oberliga - Hamburg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 80% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.