Victoria Hamburg vs Harksheide: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HamburgHamburg - 34Kick-off on May 21, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stadion Hoheluft, Hamburg
The Footlab model makes Victoria Hamburg the favourite at 66%, against 16% for a draw and 18% for Harksheide. The most likely score is 3-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Victoria Hamburg vs Harksheide?
Victoria Hamburg starts as the favourite with a 164-point Elo edge (1,867 vs 1,704).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Victoria Hamburg have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Harksheide have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Niendorfer TSV(away) | 6-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Paloma(home) | 1-5 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Nikola Tesla(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 11, 2026 | SV Drochtersen/Assel(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 15, 2026 | Teutonia Ottensen(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Tus Dassendorf(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sasel(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Süderelbe(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Pinneberg(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 15, 2026 | HT16(away) | 4-5 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Victoria Hamburg win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Harksheide win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | Harksheide 1-2 Victoria Hamburg | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 18, 2025 | Victoria Hamburg 5-0 Harksheide | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Feb 28, 2025 | Victoria Hamburg 5-1 Harksheide | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 17, 2024 | Harksheide 2-4 Victoria Hamburg | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Mar 15, 2024 | Victoria Hamburg 5-2 Harksheide | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 22, 2023 | Harksheide 3-0 Victoria Hamburg | Oberliga - Hamburg |
Last archived meeting: Harksheide vs Victoria Hamburg on Mar 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Victoria Hamburg score 2.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Harksheide score 1.6 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 84% probability of over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victoria Hamburg | 2.6 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Harksheide | 1.6 | 2.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Victoria Hamburg sit 4th in Oberliga - Hamburg (64 points from 34 matches) and Harksheide sit 11th (45 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Victoria Hamburg | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 83 | 48 | 64 |
| 11 | Harksheide | 34 | 14 | 3 | 17 | 65 | 92 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Victoria Hamburg vs Harksheide?
- The Footlab model makes Victoria Hamburg the favourite at 66%, against 16% for a draw and 18% for Harksheide.
- Where and when is Victoria Hamburg vs Harksheide played?
- Victoria Hamburg vs Harksheide is played on May 21, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion Hoheluft, in the Oberliga - Hamburg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 84% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.