Sasel vs ETSV Hamburg: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HamburgHamburg - 34Kick-off on May 23, 2027 at 09:00 AM (UTC)Sportplatz Parkweg, Hamburg
The Footlab AI model makes ETSV Hamburg the favourite at 64%, against 17% for a draw and 19% for Sasel. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,455 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sasel vs ETSV Hamburg?
ETSV Hamburg starts as the favourite with a 192-point Elo edge (1,965 vs 1,774).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sasel vs ETSV Hamburg
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sasel
Not enough data to predict the Sasel lineup.
ETSV Hamburg
Not enough data to predict the ETSV Hamburg lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 11:17 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sasel have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; ETSV Hamburg have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Pinneberg(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Victoria Hamburg(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Vorwärts-Wacker 04(home) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 20, 2026 | HT16(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Niendorfer TSV(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Niendorfer TSV(home) | 4-6 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Paloma(away) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Nikola Tesla(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Harksheide(home) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Buchholz(home) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Sasel win, 1 draw, 4 ETSV Hamburg wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | ETSV Hamburg 4-0 Sasel | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Sasel 1-1 ETSV Hamburg | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Apr 21, 2025 | ETSV Hamburg 2-0 Sasel | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 13, 2024 | Sasel 0-5 ETSV Hamburg | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Feb 4, 2024 | Sasel 0-1 ETSV Hamburg | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 25, 2023 | ETSV Hamburg 1-3 Sasel | Oberliga - Hamburg |
Last archived meeting: ETSV Hamburg vs Sasel on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sasel score 1.7 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; ETSV Hamburg score 2.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 81% probability of over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sasel | 1.7 | 2.2 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| ETSV Hamburg | 2.6 | 1.9 | 1 | 14/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sasel sit 10th in Oberliga - Hamburg (50 points from 34 matches) and ETSV Hamburg sit 1st (83 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ETSV Hamburg | 34 | 26 | 5 | 3 | 126 | 27 | 83 |
| 10 | Sasel | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 88 | 50 |
A question about Sasel vs ETSV Hamburg?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sasel vs ETSV Hamburg?
- The Footlab AI model makes ETSV Hamburg the favourite at 64%, against 17% for a draw and 19% for Sasel.
- Where and when is Sasel vs ETSV Hamburg played?
- Sasel vs ETSV Hamburg is played on May 23, 2027 at 09:00 AM (UTC) at Sportplatz Parkweg, in the Oberliga - Hamburg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 81% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.