Nimes vs Chateauroux: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group CGroup C - 21Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade des Antonins, Nîmes
The Footlab AI model makes Nimes the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Chateauroux. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,382 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nimes vs Chateauroux?
Nimes starts as the favourite with a 196-point Elo edge (1,889 vs 1,693).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Nimes vs Chateauroux
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Nimes
4-3-3- 31Sory Doumbouya
- 13B. Toure
- 15N. Bennour
- 8C. Benhamza
- 9K. Tlili
- 23I. Semedo
- 4P. Martínez
- 11Diaby Doucoure
- 20E. Loubacky
- 28P. Mbemba
- 16L. Dias
Chateauroux
4-3-3- 12J. Koembo
- 19L. Piquionne
- 27W. Boussaid
- 5P. Wade
- 21Y. Chahid
- 10R. Freitas
- 39M. Beneddine
- 6G. Kelo
- 4D. Diarra
- 28S. Mopila
- 16L. Lavallée
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 06:04 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nimes have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Chateauroux have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Hyères(home) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Hauts Lyonnais(away) | 3-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Troyes II(home) | 4-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Lyon Duchere(away) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Fréjus St-Raphaël(home) | 3-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Istres(away) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Limonest(home) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 5, 2026 | UF Touraine(away) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Hyères(home) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hauts Lyonnais(away) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Nimes wins, 1 draw, 2 Chateauroux wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2025 | Chateauroux 3-2 Nimes | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 23, 2024 | Nimes 1-0 Chateauroux | Ligue 3 |
| Feb 16, 2024 | Chateauroux 0-1 Nimes | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 8, 2023 | Nimes 2-2 Chateauroux | Ligue 3 |
| Jan 20, 2018 | Nimes 3-0 Chateauroux | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 21, 2017 | Chateauroux 1-0 Nimes | Ligue 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Nimes score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Chateauroux score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nimes | 2.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
| Chateauroux | 0.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nimes sit 1st in National 2 - Group C (16 points from 6 matches) and Chateauroux sit 15th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nimes | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 3 | 16 |
| 15 | Chateauroux | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
A question about Nimes vs Chateauroux?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nimes vs Chateauroux?
- The Footlab AI model makes Nimes the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Chateauroux.
- Where and when is Nimes vs Chateauroux played?
- Nimes vs Chateauroux is played on March 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade des Antonins, in the National 2 - Group C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.