Nimes vs Fréjus St-Raphaël: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group CGroup C - 2Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade des Antonins, Nîmes
The Footlab model makes Nimes the favourite at 67%, against 20% for a draw and 13% for Fréjus St-Raphaël. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nimes vs Fréjus St-Raphaël?
Nimes starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (1,842 vs 1,713).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nimes have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Fréjus St-Raphaël have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Canet Roussillon(away) | 3-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Marseille(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Rodez(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Nice(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Limonest(away) | 3-2 | National 2 - Group C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Saint-Priest(home) | 3-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 16, 2026 | Grasse(home) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 9, 2026 | Bobigny(away) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 2, 2026 | Toulon(home) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Saint-Priest(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Nimes win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Fréjus St-Raphaël win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Fréjus St-Raphaël 0-2 Nimes | National 2 - Group C |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Nimes 3-0 Fréjus St-Raphaël | National 2 - Group C |
| Jan 13, 2012 | Nimes 4-1 Fréjus St-Raphaël | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 12, 2011 | Fréjus St-Raphaël 2-0 Nimes | Ligue 3 |
Last archived meeting: Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Nimes on Feb 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nimes score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Fréjus St-Raphaël score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nimes | 1.7 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Fréjus St-Raphaël | 1.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nimes sit 3rd in National 2 - Group C (3 points from 1 matches) and Fréjus St-Raphaël sit 2nd (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Fréjus St-Raphaël | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Nimes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nimes vs Fréjus St-Raphaël?
- The Footlab model makes Nimes the favourite at 67%, against 20% for a draw and 13% for Fréjus St-Raphaël.
- Where and when is Nimes vs Fréjus St-Raphaël played?
- Nimes vs Fréjus St-Raphaël is played on August 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade des Antonins, in the National 2 - Group C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.