Istres vs Hauts Lyonnais: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group CGroup C - 2Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Parsemain, Fos-sur-Mer
The Footlab model makes Istres the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Hauts Lyonnais. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Istres vs Hauts Lyonnais?
A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Istres (1,759) and Hauts Lyonnais (1,812).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Istres have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Hauts Lyonnais have 11, 4 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Troyes II(away) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 16, 2026 | Chasselay MDA(home) | 1-2 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 9, 2026 | Nimes(away) | 0-3 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 1, 2026 | Creteil(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Grasse(away) | 2-2 | National 2 - Group C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chateauroux(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 16, 2026 | Auxerre II(home) | 1-0 | National 3 - Group G |
| May 9, 2026 | Orléans II(away) | 3-0 | National 3 - Group G |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Saint-Étienne II(home) | 4-1 | National 3 - Group G |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Union Cosnoise(away) | 2-0 | National 3 - Group G |
How many goals should we expect?
Istres score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Hauts Lyonnais score 1.8 and concede 0.4. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Istres | 1.0 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Hauts Lyonnais | 1.8 | 0.4 | 11 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Istres sit 11th in National 2 - Group C (1 points from 1 matches) and Hauts Lyonnais sit 13th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Istres | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Hauts Lyonnais | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Istres vs Hauts Lyonnais?
- The Footlab model makes Istres the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Hauts Lyonnais.
- Where and when is Istres vs Hauts Lyonnais played?
- Istres vs Hauts Lyonnais is played on August 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Parsemain, in the National 2 - Group C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.