Saint-Priest vs Lyon Duchere: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group CGroup C - 2Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Jacques Joly, Saint-Priest
The Footlab model makes Lyon Duchere the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Saint-Priest. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Saint-Priest vs Lyon Duchere?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Saint-Priest (1,678) and Lyon Duchere (1,750).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Saint-Priest have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Lyon Duchere have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Fréjus St-Raphaël(away) | 0-3 | National 2 - Group C |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Monaco(away) | 2-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Hyères(away) | 1-4 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 9, 2026 | Toulon(home) | 2-2 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 2, 2026 | St Maur Lusitanos(home) | 2-3 | National 2 - Group C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rumilly Vallières(home) | 1-7 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 16, 2026 | Montpellier II(home) | 3-0 | National 3 - Group H |
| May 9, 2026 | Olympique Lyonnais II(away) | 4-2 | National 3 - Group H |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Fos(home) | 2-3 | National 3 - Group H |
| Apr 18, 2026 | ASPTT Dijon(away) | 4-2 | National 3 - Group H |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Saint-Priest win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Lyon Duchere win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2024 | Saint-Priest 2-2 Lyon Duchere | National 3 - Group K |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Lyon Duchere 2-1 Saint-Priest | National 3 - Group K |
| Jan 21, 2023 | Lyon Duchere 1-1 Saint-Priest | National 2 - Group C |
| Oct 29, 2022 | Saint-Priest 0-1 Lyon Duchere | Coupe de France |
| Aug 27, 2022 | Saint-Priest 1-1 Lyon Duchere | National 2 - Group C |
| Mar 19, 2022 | Lyon Duchere 2-3 Saint-Priest | National 2 - Group C |
Last archived meeting: Saint-Priest vs Lyon Duchere on Feb 24, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Saint-Priest score 0.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Lyon Duchere score 2.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint-Priest | 0.9 | 2.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Lyon Duchere | 2.2 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Saint-Priest sit 16th in National 2 - Group C (0 points from 1 matches) and Lyon Duchere sit 17th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Saint-Priest | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 | Lyon Duchere | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Saint-Priest vs Lyon Duchere?
- The Footlab model makes Lyon Duchere the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Saint-Priest.
- Where and when is Saint-Priest vs Lyon Duchere played?
- Saint-Priest vs Lyon Duchere is played on August 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Jacques Joly, in the National 2 - Group C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.