Ninove vs HO Kalken: prediction and stats
Second Amateur Division - VFV AVFV A - 4Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stadion De Kloppers, Meerbeeke
The Footlab model makes HO Kalken the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Ninove. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ninove vs HO Kalken?
A very open match: only 76 Elo points separate Ninove (1,668) and HO Kalken (1,743).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ninove have 2 wins, 1 draws and 12 defeats; HO Kalken have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Merelbeke(home) | 3-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Hoogstraten(away) | 1-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Knokke(home) | 0-4 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Diegem Sport(away) | 0-5 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Houtvenne(home) | 1-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Gullegem(away) | 0-5 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Mandel United(home) | 0-2 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Harelbeke(away) | 2-0 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Zulte Waregem II(home) | 1-1 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Diksmuide(away) | 0-3 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
How many goals should we expect?
Ninove score 1.2 and concede 3.1 goals per match over their last 15; HO Kalken score 1.1 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ninove | 1.2 | 3.1 | 0 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| HO Kalken | 1.1 | 2.5 | 1 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | HO Kalken | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 58 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ninove vs HO Kalken?
- The Footlab model makes HO Kalken the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Ninove.
- Where and when is Ninove vs HO Kalken played?
- Ninove vs HO Kalken is played on September 19, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion De Kloppers, in the Second Amateur Division - VFV A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.