Nitra vs Baník Prievidza: prediction and stats
3. liga - WestWest - 4Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Štadión pod Zoborom, Nitra
The Footlab model makes Nitra the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Baník Prievidza. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nitra vs Baník Prievidza?
Baník Prievidza starts as the favourite with a 133-point Elo edge (1,582 vs 1,449).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nitra have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Baník Prievidza have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Dolné Krškany(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Častkovce(home) | 3-2 | 3. liga - West |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Púchov(away) | 0-0 | 3. liga - West |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Trenčín II(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Galanta(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Častkovce(home) | 4-2 | 3. liga - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | MŠK Senec(home) | 1-2 | 3. liga - West |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gabčíkovo(away) | 0-2 | 3. liga - West |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Fomat Martin(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Rača(away) | 1-1 | 3. liga - West |
How many goals should we expect?
Nitra score 1.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Baník Prievidza score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nitra | 1.8 | 1.0 | 7 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Baník Prievidza | 2.1 | 1.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nitra vs Baník Prievidza?
- The Footlab model makes Nitra the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Baník Prievidza.
- Where and when is Nitra vs Baník Prievidza played?
- Nitra vs Baník Prievidza is played on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Štadión pod Zoborom, in the 3. liga - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.