NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs NK Slaven Belupo: prediction and stats
HNLRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb
The Footlab model makes NK Lokomotiva Zagreb the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for NK Slaven Belupo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs NK Slaven Belupo?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate NK Lokomotiva Zagreb (1,890) and NK Slaven Belupo (1,828).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; NK Slaven Belupo have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Rudes(away) | 1-4 | HNL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | NK Osijek(away) | 0-1 | HNL |
| Aug 8, 2026 | HNK Gorica(home) | 3-1 | HNL |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Istra 1961(away) | 3-2 | HNL |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sturm Graz II(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | HNK Gorica(home) | 2-0 | HNL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Istra 1961(away) | 0-3 | HNL |
| Aug 9, 2026 | NK Varazdin(home) | 1-4 | HNL |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Dinamo Zagreb(away) | 0-2 | HNL |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sesvete(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 NK Slaven Belupo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2026 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 2-1 NK Slaven Belupo | HNL |
| Mar 10, 2026 | NK Slaven Belupo 1-1 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | Cup |
| Feb 13, 2026 | NK Slaven Belupo 2-0 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | HNL |
| Jan 16, 2026 | NK Slaven Belupo 2-4 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 8, 2025 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-1 NK Slaven Belupo | HNL |
| Aug 23, 2025 | NK Slaven Belupo 1-2 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | HNL |
Last archived meeting: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs NK Slaven Belupo on Apr 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; NK Slaven Belupo score 1.4 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 1.3 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| NK Slaven Belupo | 1.4 | 2.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb sit 6th in HNL (6 points from 4 matches) and NK Slaven Belupo sit 8th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 6 |
| 8 | NK Slaven Belupo | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs NK Slaven Belupo?
- The Footlab model makes NK Lokomotiva Zagreb the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for NK Slaven Belupo.
- Where and when is NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs NK Slaven Belupo played?
- NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs NK Slaven Belupo is played on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Maksimir, in the HNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.