NK Slaven Belupo vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb: prediction and stats
HNLRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Gradski Stadion, Koprivnica
The Footlab model makes NK Slaven Belupo the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win NK Slaven Belupo vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate NK Slaven Belupo (1,802) and NK Lokomotiva Zagreb (1,865).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, NK Slaven Belupo have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; NK Lokomotiva Zagreb have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | HNK Gorica(home) | 2-0 | HNL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Istra 1961(away) | 0-3 | HNL |
| Aug 9, 2026 | NK Varazdin(home) | 1-4 | HNL |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Dinamo Zagreb(away) | 0-2 | HNL |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sesvete(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Rudes(away) | 1-4 | HNL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | NK Osijek(away) | 0-1 | HNL |
| Aug 8, 2026 | HNK Gorica(home) | 3-1 | HNL |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Istra 1961(away) | 3-2 | HNL |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sturm Graz II(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 NK Slaven Belupo win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2026 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 2-1 NK Slaven Belupo | HNL |
| Mar 10, 2026 | NK Slaven Belupo 1-1 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | Cup |
| Feb 13, 2026 | NK Slaven Belupo 2-0 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | HNL |
| Jan 16, 2026 | NK Slaven Belupo 2-4 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 8, 2025 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-1 NK Slaven Belupo | HNL |
| Aug 23, 2025 | NK Slaven Belupo 1-2 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | HNL |
Last archived meeting: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs NK Slaven Belupo on Apr 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
NK Slaven Belupo score 1.4 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; NK Lokomotiva Zagreb score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NK Slaven Belupo | 1.4 | 2.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 1.3 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
NK Slaven Belupo sit 8th in HNL (3 points from 4 matches) and NK Lokomotiva Zagreb sit 4th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 6 |
| 8 | NK Slaven Belupo | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for NK Slaven Belupo vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?
- The Footlab model makes NK Slaven Belupo the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb.
- Where and when is NK Slaven Belupo vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb played?
- NK Slaven Belupo vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski Stadion, in the HNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.