NK Osijek vs NK Slaven Belupo: prediction and stats
HNLRegular Season - 5Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Opus Arena, Osijek
The Footlab model makes NK Osijek the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for NK Slaven Belupo. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win NK Osijek vs NK Slaven Belupo?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate NK Osijek (1,873) and NK Slaven Belupo (1,802).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, NK Osijek have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; NK Slaven Belupo have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb(home) | 1-0 | HNL |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rudes(away) | 6-1 | HNL |
| Aug 1, 2026 | HNK Gorica(away) | 2-0 | HNL |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Rizespor(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | HNK Cibalia(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | HNK Gorica(home) | 2-0 | HNL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Istra 1961(away) | 0-3 | HNL |
| Aug 9, 2026 | NK Varazdin(home) | 1-4 | HNL |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Dinamo Zagreb(away) | 0-2 | HNL |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sesvete(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 NK Osijek win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 NK Slaven Belupo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | NK Osijek 2-0 NK Slaven Belupo | HNL |
| Mar 22, 2026 | NK Slaven Belupo 0-0 NK Osijek | HNL |
| Dec 20, 2025 | NK Osijek 0-0 NK Slaven Belupo | HNL |
| Oct 4, 2025 | NK Slaven Belupo 2-1 NK Osijek | HNL |
| May 4, 2025 | NK Slaven Belupo 1-4 NK Osijek | HNL |
| Apr 2, 2025 | NK Slaven Belupo 0-0 NK Osijek | Cup |
Last archived meeting: NK Osijek vs NK Slaven Belupo on May 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
NK Osijek score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; NK Slaven Belupo score 1.4 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NK Osijek | 1.3 | 1.0 | 7 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
| NK Slaven Belupo | 1.4 | 2.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
NK Osijek sit 2nd in HNL (9 points from 3 matches) and NK Slaven Belupo sit 8th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | NK Osijek | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 | NK Slaven Belupo | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for NK Osijek vs NK Slaven Belupo?
- The Footlab model makes NK Osijek the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for NK Slaven Belupo.
- Where and when is NK Osijek vs NK Slaven Belupo played?
- NK Osijek vs NK Slaven Belupo is played on August 30, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Opus Arena, in the HNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.