NK Slaven Belupo vs Istra 1961: prediction and stats
HNLRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Gradski Stadion, Koprivnica
The Footlab model makes NK Slaven Belupo the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Istra 1961. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win NK Slaven Belupo vs Istra 1961?
A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate NK Slaven Belupo (1,828) and Istra 1961 (1,881).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, NK Slaven Belupo have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Istra 1961 have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | HNK Gorica(home) | 2-0 | HNL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Istra 1961(away) | 0-3 | HNL |
| Aug 9, 2026 | NK Varazdin(home) | 1-4 | HNL |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Dinamo Zagreb(away) | 0-2 | HNL |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sesvete(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | HNK Rijeka(away) | 2-3 | HNL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | NK Slaven Belupo(home) | 3-0 | HNL |
| Aug 9, 2026 | HNK Hajduk Split(away) | 2-2 | HNL |
| Aug 1, 2026 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb(home) | 2-3 | HNL |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Lecce(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 NK Slaven Belupo win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Istra 1961 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Istra 1961 3-0 NK Slaven Belupo | HNL |
| May 4, 2026 | Istra 1961 3-1 NK Slaven Belupo | HNL |
| Feb 27, 2026 | NK Slaven Belupo 1-0 Istra 1961 | HNL |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Istra 1961 1-1 NK Slaven Belupo | HNL |
| Sep 12, 2025 | NK Slaven Belupo 2-1 Istra 1961 | HNL |
| Apr 28, 2025 | Istra 1961 1-1 NK Slaven Belupo | HNL |
Last archived meeting: Istra 1961 vs NK Slaven Belupo on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
NK Slaven Belupo score 1.4 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Istra 1961 score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NK Slaven Belupo | 1.4 | 2.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Istra 1961 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
NK Slaven Belupo sit 8th in HNL (3 points from 4 matches) and Istra 1961 sit 7th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Istra 1961 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 4 |
| 8 | NK Slaven Belupo | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for NK Slaven Belupo vs Istra 1961?
- The Footlab model makes NK Slaven Belupo the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Istra 1961.
- Where and when is NK Slaven Belupo vs Istra 1961 played?
- NK Slaven Belupo vs Istra 1961 is played on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski Stadion, in the HNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.