HNK Hajduk Split vs HNK Gorica: prediction and stats
HNLRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Poljud, Split
The Footlab AI model makes HNK Hajduk Split the favourite at 62%, against 24% for a draw and 14% for HNK Gorica. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 3,127 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win HNK Hajduk Split vs HNK Gorica?
HNK Hajduk Split starts as the favourite with a 254-point Elo edge (2,021 vs 1,767).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for HNK Hajduk Split vs HNK Gorica
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
HNK Hajduk Split
4-2-3-1- 11M. Šego
- 9Dali
- 23M. Šotiček
- 20Alberto del Moral
- 8K. Fayad
- 7A. Sanyang
- 15D. Marešić
- 22M. Acapandié
- 6D. Hadžikadunić
- 32Š. Hrgović
- 33T. Silić
HNK Gorica
4-2-3-1- 9P. Mijić
- 25B. Bogojević
- 6T. Lacoux
- 66Juraj Frigan
- 8J. Pranjić
- 24D. Pavičić
- 15D. Stevanović
- 32J. Filipović
- 5Gonçalo Costa
- 2F. Braut
- 1R. Josipović
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 02:48 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, HNK Hajduk Split have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat; HNK Gorica have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2026 | FC Thun(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | NK Varazdin(home) | 1-0 | HNL |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Ajax(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Dinamo Zagreb(home) | 2-1 | HNL |
| Sep 20, 2026 | HNK Rijeka(away) | 0-3 | HNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | NK Osijek(away) | 1-1 | HNL |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Rudes(home) | 1-2 | HNL |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Bravo(home) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Maribor(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Istra 1961(away) | 1-0 | HNL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 HNK Hajduk Split wins, 1 draw, 1 HNK Gorica win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | HNK Gorica 1-2 HNK Hajduk Split | HNL |
| Apr 12, 2026 | HNK Hajduk Split 1-0 HNK Gorica | HNL |
| Jan 31, 2026 | HNK Gorica 1-0 HNK Hajduk Split | HNL |
| Oct 24, 2025 | HNK Gorica 1-3 HNK Hajduk Split | HNL |
| Aug 10, 2025 | HNK Hajduk Split 2-0 HNK Gorica | HNL |
| May 11, 2025 | HNK Gorica 1-1 HNK Hajduk Split | HNL |
Last archived meeting: HNK Gorica vs HNK Hajduk Split on Aug 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
HNK Hajduk Split score 2.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; HNK Gorica score 1.0 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HNK Hajduk Split | 2.1 | 0.8 | 8 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| HNK Gorica | 1.0 | 1.6 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
HNK Hajduk Split sit 1st in HNL (22 points from 10 matches) and HNK Gorica sit 10th (6 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HNK Hajduk Split | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 22 |
| 10 | HNK Gorica | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 6 |
A question about HNK Hajduk Split vs HNK Gorica?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for HNK Hajduk Split vs HNK Gorica?
- The Footlab AI model makes HNK Hajduk Split the favourite at 62%, against 24% for a draw and 14% for HNK Gorica.
- Where and when is HNK Hajduk Split vs HNK Gorica played?
- HNK Hajduk Split vs HNK Gorica is played on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Poljud, in the HNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.