Nocerina vs Turris: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone HGroup H - 31Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio San Francesco, Nocera Inferiore
The Footlab AI model makes Nocerina the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Turris. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,461 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nocerina vs Turris?
On Elo ratings, Nocerina has 1,735 points and Turris 1,648.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Nocerina vs Turris
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Nocerina
Not enough data to predict the Nocerina lineup.
Turris
4-3-3- 10L. Giannone
- 29M. Trotta
- 20A. Giglio
- 8B. Morrone
- 66J. Boli
- 17Luca Nocerino
- 15M. Ndiaye
- 30Francesco Desiato
- 45C. Imparato
- 28D. Cavallaro
- 1S. Iuliano
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 06:29 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nocerina have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Turris have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Brindisi(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Turris(home) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Melfi(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 27, 2026 | USD Palmese(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Bisceglie(away) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Manfredonia(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Nocerina(away) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Gladiator(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Fidelis Andria(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Brindisi(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Nocerina wins, 2 draws, 1 Turris win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | Nocerina 1-1 Turris | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Aug 20, 2023 | Turris 3-2 Nocerina | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 7, 2022 | Nocerina 1-1 Turris | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Nocerina score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Turris score 1.2 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nocerina | 1.0 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Turris | 1.2 | 1.8 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nocerina sit 5th in Serie D - Girone H (13 points from 7 matches) and Turris sit 3rd (15 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Turris | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 5 | 15 |
| 5 | Nocerina | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 13 |
A question about Nocerina vs Turris?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nocerina vs Turris?
- The Footlab AI model makes Nocerina the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Turris.
- Where and when is Nocerina vs Turris played?
- Nocerina vs Turris is played on April 11, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio San Francesco, in the Serie D - Girone H.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.