Noja vs Castro: result 1-4 and analysis
Tercera División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 23Kick-off on February 21, 2026 at 03:15 PM (UTC)Campo La Caseta, Noja
Full time
What was the result of Noja vs Castro?
Castro won 1-4 on February 21, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 6′611717Castro
- 22′643516Castro
- 53′611717Castro
- 66′643517Castro
- 82′643518Noja
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Noja have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Castro have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Cayón(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Feb 8, 2026 | Montañas Pas(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Escobedo(away) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Jan 18, 2026 | Tropezón(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Jan 10, 2026 | Cartes(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2026 | Atlético Albericia(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Feb 8, 2026 | Cayón(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Feb 1, 2026 | Montañas Pas(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Vimenor(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Jan 11, 2026 | Tropezón(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Noja wins, 2 draws, 1 Castro win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2025 | Castro 2-1 Noja | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Jan 23, 2022 | Noja 1-1 Castro | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 25, 2021 | Castro 0-0 Noja | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Noja score 0.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Castro score 0.9 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noja | 0.7 | 1.2 | 5 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Castro | 0.9 | 1.4 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Castro | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 5 |
A question about Noja vs Castro?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy