Noordwijk vs Groene Ster: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 33Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Duinwetering, Noordwijk
The Footlab AI model makes Noordwijk the favourite at 86%, against 9% for a draw and 5% for Groene Ster. The most likely score is 3-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,542 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Noordwijk vs Groene Ster?
Noordwijk starts as the favourite with a 282-point Elo edge (1,890 vs 1,608).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Noordwijk vs Groene Ster
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Noordwijk
4-3-3- 31E. Wendt
- 11V. Tjin-Asjoe
- 18R. Marbus
- 20Neto
- 21B. Franken
- 19D. Bakker
- 3D. Reinders
- 5J. Strooker
- 37K. Groot
- 22T. Zethof
- 1B. Schol
Groene Ster
4-3-3- 9Bjorn Stassen
- 21L. Golsteijn
- 11S. Ahidar
- 27M. Germonprez
- 18T. Hajjaji
- 8B. Simons
- 17D. Stassar
- 23D. Zwartjes
- 2J. de Kleijn
- 10C. Ghijsen
- 1M. Voss
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 07:40 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Noordwijk have 11 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats; Groene Ster have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2026 | GVVV Veenendaal(away) | 0-3 | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 24, 2026 | GOES(home) | 3-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Rijnvogels(away) | 3-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Gemert(home) | 4-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | EVV(away) | 2-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | UNA(home) | 1-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Dongen(away) | 0-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 11, 2026 | GOES(home) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Rijnvogels(away) | 1-5 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Gemert(home) | 1-2 | Derde Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Noordwijk wins, 0 draws, 2 Groene Ster wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Groene Ster 4-2 Noordwijk | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Noordwijk 1-3 Groene Ster | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
Last archived meeting: Groene Ster vs Noordwijk on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Noordwijk score 1.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Groene Ster score 1.5 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noordwijk | 1.9 | 0.7 | 11 | 3/15 | 8/15 |
| Groene Ster | 1.5 | 2.7 | 1 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Noordwijk sit 1st in Derde Divisie (28 points from 11 matches) and Groene Ster sit 15th (9 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Noordwijk | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 4 | 28 |
| 15 | Groene Ster | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 27 | 9 |
A question about Noordwijk vs Groene Ster?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Noordwijk vs Groene Ster?
- The Footlab AI model makes Noordwijk the favourite at 86%, against 9% for a draw and 5% for Groene Ster.
- Where and when is Noordwijk vs Groene Ster played?
- Noordwijk vs Groene Ster is played on May 15, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Duinwetering, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.