DVS 33 Ermelo vs Excelsior '31: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 33Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Zuid DVS '33, Ermelo
The Footlab AI model makes Excelsior '31 the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for DVS 33 Ermelo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Excelsior '31 wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,422 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win DVS 33 Ermelo vs Excelsior '31?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate DVS 33 Ermelo (1,771) and Excelsior '31 (1,792).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for DVS 33 Ermelo vs Excelsior '31
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
DVS 33 Ermelo
3-4-3- 10Stef Nijland
- 7J. van Essen
- 11B. Roemeon
- 6R. Dekker
- 22M. Ahrens
- 3Tim Van de Berg
- 8Maarten van Dijk
- 5R. Baas
- 17Willard Timmerman
- 15T. van Diermen
- 32Largo Karrenbelt
Excelsior '31
Not enough data to predict the Excelsior '31 lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 01:02 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, DVS 33 Ermelo have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Excelsior '31 have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Eemdijk(home) | 2-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Hercules(away) | 0-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Sportlust '46(home) | 1-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2026 | GVVV Veenendaal(away) | 0-4 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Hollandia(home) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | ADO '20(away) | 1-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Sportlust '46(away) | 3-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Dovo(home) | 3-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2026 | AFC '34(home) | 4-3 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Hoogeveen(away) | 2-0 | Derde Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 DVS 33 Ermelo wins, 1 draw, 2 Excelsior '31 wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | DVS 33 Ermelo 1-2 Excelsior '31 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Excelsior '31 0-1 DVS 33 Ermelo | Derde Divisie |
| Mar 15, 2025 | DVS 33 Ermelo 4-0 Excelsior '31 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Excelsior '31 1-2 DVS 33 Ermelo | Derde Divisie |
| May 20, 2023 | Excelsior '31 4-0 DVS 33 Ermelo | Derde Divisie |
| Nov 26, 2022 | DVS 33 Ermelo 1-1 Excelsior '31 | Derde Divisie |
Last archived meeting: DVS 33 Ermelo vs Excelsior '31 on Jan 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
DVS 33 Ermelo score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Excelsior '31 score 2.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DVS 33 Ermelo | 1.1 | 1.9 | 1 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Excelsior '31 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
DVS 33 Ermelo sit 13th in Derde Divisie (6 points from 9 matches) and Excelsior '31 sit 5th (19 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Excelsior '31 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 19 |
| 13 | DVS 33 Ermelo | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 6 |
A question about DVS 33 Ermelo vs Excelsior '31?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for DVS 33 Ermelo vs Excelsior '31?
- The Footlab AI model makes Excelsior '31 the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for DVS 33 Ermelo.
- Where and when is DVS 33 Ermelo vs Excelsior '31 played?
- DVS 33 Ermelo vs Excelsior '31 is played on May 15, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Zuid DVS '33, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.