Vvsb vs Dongen: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 33Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark De Boekhorst, Noordwijkerhout
The Footlab model makes Vvsb the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Dongen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vvsb vs Dongen?
Vvsb starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (1,799 vs 1,676).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vvsb have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Dongen have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | UDI '19(home) | 0-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Poortugaal(away) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
| May 30, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis(away) | 0-3 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 27, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis(home) | 1-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 23, 2026 | Rijnvogels(away) | 3-0 | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | EVV(away) | 3-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Zwaluwen(home) | 4-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Heerjansdam(away) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie - Relegation Round |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Heerjansdam(home) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie - Relegation Round |
| May 30, 2026 | SVV Scheveningen(away) | 2-0 | Derde Divisie - Relegation Round |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Vvsb win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Dongen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2023 | Dongen 3-5 Vvsb | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Oct 2, 2022 | Vvsb 6-1 Dongen | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
How many goals should we expect?
Vvsb score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Dongen score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vvsb | 1.6 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Dongen | 1.6 | 1.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vvsb sit 9th in Derde Divisie (3 points from 2 matches) and Dongen sit 2nd (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Dongen | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
| 9 | Vvsb | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vvsb vs Dongen?
- The Footlab model makes Vvsb the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Dongen.
- Where and when is Vvsb vs Dongen played?
- Vvsb vs Dongen is played on May 15, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark De Boekhorst, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.