Vvsb vs Dongen: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 33Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark De Boekhorst, Noordwijkerhout
The Footlab AI model makes Vvsb the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Dongen. The most likely score is 1-1. If Vvsb wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,403 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vvsb vs Dongen?
Vvsb starts as the favourite with a 107-point Elo edge (1,736 vs 1,629).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Vvsb vs Dongen
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Vvsb
4-3-3- 11G. van Velzen
- 9J. van Nieuwkerk
- 20Segun Owobowale
- 14N. van Wetten
- 29Timo Wolters
- 1Mats Warmerdam
- 5Dion Hooi
- 28Dario van Breukelen
- 23Max Ossendrijver
- 8Tim Bloemendaal
- 25S. Hoogervorst
Dongen
4-3-3- 17M. van Bree
- 15A. Sesay
- 11R. Siemerink
- 10F. Kamaçi
- 8T. Avontuur
- 4T. Martens
- 6L. Hultermans
- 14S. Spijkers
- 12J. Gerrits
- 20P. Scheerlinck
- 22S. Heijstee
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 11:31 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vvsb have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Dongen have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Blauw Geel(home) | 0-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis(home) | 0-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Roosendaal(away) | 1-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Rijnvogels(away) | 1-0 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Achilles Veen(home) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | UDI '19(away) | 0-4 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Poortugaal(home) | 4-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 27, 2026 | UNA(away) | 2-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Blauw Geel(away) | 1-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | GOES(home) | 2-3 | Derde Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Vvsb wins, 0 draws, 0 Dongen wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2023 | Dongen 3-5 Vvsb | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Oct 2, 2022 | Vvsb 6-1 Dongen | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
How many goals should we expect?
Vvsb score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Dongen score 1.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vvsb | 1.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Dongen | 1.9 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vvsb sit 16th in Derde Divisie (7 points from 9 matches) and Dongen sit 8th (13 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Dongen | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 21 | 13 |
| 16 | Vvsb | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 7 |
A question about Vvsb vs Dongen?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vvsb vs Dongen?
- The Footlab AI model makes Vvsb the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Dongen.
- Where and when is Vvsb vs Dongen played?
- Vvsb vs Dongen is played on May 15, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark De Boekhorst, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.